Murwillumbah tips: Fairway the top Choice for punters
Daily Telegraph form analyst Shayne O’Cass gives his best bets and runs the rule over the Quaddie legs at Murwillumbah and Tamworth.
The Form: Complete NSW Racing thoroughbred form, including video replays and all you need to know about every horse, jockey and trainer. Find a winner here!
MURWILLUMBAH
BEST BET
Race 2 No. 2: Fairway Choice
Looked a ready-made racehorse winning a trial at Deagon. Trained here.
NEXT BEST
Race 3 No. 7: Playgirl
Matthew Dunn local and last start winner. Harder here but is on the up.
VALUE BET
Race 4 No. 3: I Am Good At This
Only a matter of time before he sheds his maiden status. This might be the day.
QUADDIE
Race 5: 1, 6
Race 6: 1, 7
Race 7: 2, 4, 5
Race 8: 4
JOCKEY TO FOLLOW
Matthew McGuren has a 24.8 per cent winning strike-rate Murwillumbah
TAMWORTH
BEST BET
Race 3 No. 2: Cyclone Rupert
Big run here from the wide alley when almost chasing down a pretty handy local.
NEXT BEST
Race 4 No. 3: Running Bear
She is the ‘best horse’ in the race on her best day that is. She likes this venue.
VALUE BET
Race 6 No. 7: Plussey
Gives the impression the 1400m is want he wants and needs.
INSIDE MAIL - MURWILLUMBAH
RACE 5
Daedalus has finished on the podium at 15 of his 29 starts but has won only twice. Let it also be known that he has placed at three of six here at home and was runner-up at two of his three at over this track and trip. Drawn to get every chance. Maybe we can’t say the same for the Dunn stablemate Al Ash Lad but he has run very good races from wide draws at various venues. Just has to run the 1550m. Not saying he won’t but still. Desert Mist, Dunn again, has won two from four at this trip.
Bet: Daedalus to win
RACE 6
Miss Super has won five of 15; one at Port Macquarie, the other four were at her home track at Grafton. This is her trip. So much so that she was a close and closing third in the Daniel Baker at Coffs Harbour last start. One more thing; she has won two from four second-up and has her regular rider on. Starspangled Rodeo, a winner of circa $300,000, will have his first run for Matthew Dunn on Friday at his new home and off a very nice (second) trial at Ballina 10-days ago. Greyworm has drawn the best possible barrier for his pattern.
Bet: Miss Super to win
RACE 7
Kinloch is one of Kris Lees’ five Provincial Championship Final winners and who knows, he could end up being Lees’ second Big Dance winner. Let’s not get ahead of ourselves but Kinloch can be barnstorming on his best day. He arrives here in fantastic shape, the glass half empty in me is slightly worried about 1550m. Never No More finished behind Kinloch at Eagle Farm on July 29 but it levels up, a lot, in Never No More’s favour by him being at home and more proven at the trip than the Novocastrian. Bjorn Baker pair Battleton and Wategos are red-hot contenders.
Bet: Kinloch to win
RACE 8
Bassac Lane was $4.40 to $7 when he made his debut at home on the Gold Coast Polytrack on July 22. Talk about the market getting it wrong. Long story short, he led throughout and had a handsome margin on the line. Polytrack winners can often look better than they are but this one might be an exception. Dubai Nights has lived in Victoria then in Queensland and is now settled in at Murwillumbah with Stewart Campbell for whom, his last two runs have been first class. In fact, he nearly won with 61kg on board in a decent Benchmark 58 at Lismore four-odd weeks ago. Shaquila is ‘easily’ good enough to win this.
Bet: Bassac Lane to win
INSIDE MAIL - TAMWORTH
RACE 5
Triple Money was ‘121’ before his totally out of character run at Doomben on August 9. Let’s wipe the slate clean, forgive and forget, and start again. The Paul Shailer-trained son of Pins returns the scene of his commanding three length win back in June, fit as can be for the trip. Classic Deel was a distant but closing third to Monfelicity at Hawkesbury last start. This daughter of Dundeel is working her way back to a win. Fiorzana is ‘going’ better than the last two runs would suggest. Wouldn’t sell her short at the odds.
Bet: Triple Money to win, box trifecta 6, 7, 8, 9
RACE 6
Plussey has raced twice for former jockey, now trainer Jake Hull. Plussey was $91 at her Hull debut in a Newcastle maiden on July 25 but she fair dinkum won like an even-money favourite. What a finish! She proved it was no fluke when she ran third at Muswellbrook after that. Just looked like a horse wanting 1400m perhaps. Social Outcast is a Cody Morgan trained local coming off a last start win at ‘The Brook’. That says he’s heading the right way. Hallowed Son took 14 starts to win but it came just 14 days ago and he bolted in. Has the ‘draw’.
Bet: Plussey to win
RACE 7
Cenotes has a tidy C.V of 10 starts for two wins and seven placings. His ‘worst’ run was a fifth so while he was a shade costly for us fans in the past, you could never question his consistency. He probably only ever lost a few of those that we thought he might win because of his crushing weights, etc. On a hat-trick on Friday and he will earn every bit of praise if he can deliver from out wide with a decent weight again. Suva May is two from 29 with 12 placings, 10 of them seconds. Get the timing right on her and she’s in the finish.
Bet: Cenotes to win, quinella 1, 5
RACE 8
Outback Ringer sounds like a song you’d hear out on Peel Street at the Country Music Festival. He is a local, trained by Cody Morgan who’s got more followers in the town than Slim Dusty. What did he have there last meeting? Six winners? Outback Ringer was one of them. Bullock took him to the front and there never saw horse or rider again. Divine Sinner is a last start winner who has the confidence up you would imagine. Enzina has more talent than her C.V which isn’t at all bad mind you.
