Nate Diaz vs Jake Paul Odds and Predictions

On Saturday, August 5, Jake Paul will battle Nate Diaz in the featured bout of the PPV event Ready 4 War. This professional boxing card will take place at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas, and will air live on ESPN+ and DAZN beginning at 9pm ET.

For Diaz, this will be his professional boxing debut. He’s had a war of words with the Paul brothers for the last few years and will try to settle this grudge in the ring on Saturday night. For Paul, this will be his eighth pro boxing bout as he looks to rebound from his loss to Tommy Fury in February.

The co-featured bout is an undisputed featherweight title fight as Amanda Serrano defends her titles against Heather Hardy.

Let’s take a look at the best boxing betting sites for the latest Paul vs Diaz odds and make some winning predictions.

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Jake Paul enters this weekend’s bout as a large betting favorite with odds ranging from -300 to -550 at sports betting sites. Paul’s odds opened at -260 before doubling and reaching -550.

Nate Diaz is a sizable underdog with odds ranging from +280 to +350. He opened at +200 odds and has seen his underdog status grow as we inch closer to fight night.

As mentioned above, Diaz is making his professional boxing debut this weekend. He last competed in a professional fight back in September 2022, when Diaz beat Tony Ferguson via 4-round submission at UFC 279.

The victory would snap a two-fight losing streak, which included a decision loss to Leon Edwards at UFC 263 and a TKO stoppage against Jorge Masvidal for the BMF title in November 2019. This same belt was won by Justin Gaethje at UFC 291 last weekend against Dustin Poirier.

After his win over Ferguson, Diaz would leave the UFC. In October 2022, Diaz got into a fight backstage at the Jake Paul vs. Anderson Silva event. Six months later, Diaz was arrested for an altercation in the streets of New Orleans where he was captured on video choking out a man.

If this was an MMA fight, Diaz would probably choke out Paul as well. However, since it’s a boxing match, oddsmakers feel that Paul has the skills to beat Diaz inside the ring.

Paul made his pro boxing debut in January 2020, when he defeated fellow YouTuber AnEsonGib via 1-round TKO. He followed that up with KO victories over Nate Robinson and Ben Askren before grinding out a split-decision win over Tyron Woodley in August 2021.

The two men would rematch in December 2021, where Paul would win via 6-round KO. His next bout came in October 2022, when he defeated legendary MMA fighter Anderson Silva via unanimous decision.

Following a 6-0 start to his pro boxing career, there was talk that Paul could be ranked by the WBC, but that was derailed when he lost via decision to Tommy Fury in February. Fury handed Paul his first professional loss and it crushed most of the buzz surrounding the former social media star.

Paul is the bigger fighter in this matchup and is 12 years younger than his counterpart. However, this entire bout comes down to how well Diaz can translate his MMA striking to boxing striking.

Diaz had a reputation of being a solid striker in MMA, who could also take a punch. In 35 pro fights, he won five by KO/TKO and suffered two defeats via this outcome. Yet, one of those came via head kick against Josh Thomson in 2013, and the other was the doctor stoppage against Masvidal in 2019. That’s the long way of saying that Diaz should be able to handle the power that Paul throws at him.

“The Problem Child” has shown decent boxing skills inside the ring. Even though he was picked apart by Tommy Fury, Paul still held his own against a real boxer. As much as I like Diaz’s “mad man” lifestyle, Paul has a noticeable advantage in boxing skills.

If this were an MMA fight, or on the streets of any city in America, Diaz would destroy Paul. However, this is in a boxing ring where the younger, bigger fighter is also the better boxer. Although there’s no value with his odds, the safe bet is on Paul. With that said, I will be rooting for Diaz to win.

The following prop bets are courtesy of BetOnline:

• Yes +160
• No -200

Despite what many boxing pundits are predicting, I like for this fight to go the distance. I believe Diaz is durable enough to withstand the onslaughts and he’s well known for his cardio.

Diaz’s best chance at winning this fight is to stick and move. Make Paul chase and hopefully wear him down. Either way, I like Diaz to take this all the way to the distance.

• KO -115
• TKO +190
• DQ +2200
• Unanimous Decision +400
• Split Decision +800
• Majority Decision +1400

As mentioned in the prop bet above, I like this fight to go the distance. With that said, I think Paul outpoints him convincingly and takes this contest via unanimous decision. The +400 odds with US betting sites is very appealing.

• Jake Paul gets knocked down +275
• Jake Paul does not get knocked down -350
• Nate Diaz gets knocked down -165
• Nate Diaz does not get knocked down +135

Here’s a boxing prop bet we can wager on that doesn’t involve picking a winner or the method of victory. If you think one of these men will get knocked down, then there are two options providing decent value.

With that in mind, between these two men, it’s more than likely that Diaz gets knocked down since Paul is the better boxer, is the bigger fighter and has the power advantage.

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