Nationals vs Dodgers Prediction, Picks, Odds
Despite an up-and-down month of baseball, the Dodgers have made quick work of the bottom-feeding Nationals. As we break down in our MLB betting picks below, you should expect more of the same on Wednesday.
Powered by the bats of Freddie Freeman and J.D. Martinez, the NL West-leading L.A. Dodgers go for the series sweep this afternoon against the Washington Nationals.
Freeman extended his hit streak to 19 games with a 4-for-5 outing in the Dodgers’ 9-3 win last night, while Martinez has homered in both contests in this series. Noah Syndergaard gets the ball for the hosts and will look to replicate this week’s solid starts from teammates Bobby Miller and Tony Gonsolin.
It’s been a tough week at the plate so far for the Nationals, who are propping up the NL East. They’ve lost three in a row while only scoring six runs during that skid, and they send veteran Patrick Corbin to the mound here.
Nationals vs Dodgers odds
Nationals vs Dodgers predictions
The Los Angeles Dodgers aren’t having it all their own way in the NL West this season, with the Diamondbacks only 1.5 games back, and L.A.’s 5-5 record over their last 10 games hasn’t helped.
However, the hosts have won three of their last four outings — and I’m picking them to finish May on a high note here.
The hot streaks for Freddie Freeman and J.D. Martinez are one factor in their favor, but I’m putting more stock in the Dodgers’ numbers across the board against Patrick Corbin. Four L.A. batters are hitting .300 or better against the Washington Nationals lefty, including a .429 mark and three homers for shortstop Miguel Rojas.
While Corbin has given up 29 hits in his last four starts, Noah Syndergaard has had his own struggles this year. Still, his ugly 6.27 ERA can be slightly misleading as his 1.35 WHIP is actually lower than Corbin’s mark (1.42).
The Dodgers have gone 7-1 in their last eight matchups against the NL East, and there’s even more reason for encouragement with their 19-7 record at home this season.
I see the hosts jumping out to an early lead. Take the run line for an L.A. lineup that’s on a roll.
My best bet: Dodgers first five innings -1.5 (+100 at Betway)
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Nationals vs Dodgers moneyline analysis
After dominating the first two games of the series, L.A. is a heavy favorite with odds shortened as low as -250 as it goes for the sweep this afternoon. The hosts piled up 13 hits last night, including long balls from Jason Heyward, Martinez, and Freeman.
The Dodgers’ schedule has been tilted toward road games in May which partly accounts for their up-and-down play, but playing at home has been a major trump card for L.A. this season, with 13 wins from the last 14 games at Dodger Stadium. Meanwhile, Washington is 12-15 on its travels.
Though the hosts lost in Syndergaard’s last two starts, they picked up a W in the four prior games that he pitched. Plus, Thor has only walked two batters over his last three starts.
Ultimately, it’s a lot easier to trust the L.A. offense to deliver clutch hits than the visitors’ lineup, which has served up six hits in each game in this series but has fallen short of cashing in base-runners.
Nationals vs Dodgers Over/Under analysis
With both starters carrying hefty ERAs into this contest, the total has predictably been bumped up to 9.5, which seems reasonable given the way that the L.A. bats have been firing.
Still, the trends point to the Under. It’s 3-0-1 in Corbin’s last four road starts against teams with a winning record, and 4-1 in the teams’ past five meetings. In fact, 20 of the last 28 matchups between these teams at Dodger Stadium have hit the Under. This afternoon’s battle could follow a similar path unless the Nationals’ bats wake up.
If you’re picking the Over, it’s likely on the strength of the Dodgers’ recent hitting or a nod to Syndergaard’s tough outing against the Rays on Friday where he allowed six runs on eight hits in six innings of work.
Nationals vs Dodgers game info
Starting pitchers
Patrick Corbin (4-5, 4.88 ERA): Corbin has rebounded impressively from a string of disappointing starts in April, where his ERA ballooned above 6.00. However, right-handers are batting .301 against him this season, and he had shaky moments in his last start on Friday as the Royals tagged him for six runs.
Noah Syndergaard (1-4, 6.27 ERA): Syndergaard has seen his role fluctuate at times, but his ERA dips to 3.62 this season at Dodger Stadium, where he’s racked up 22 Ks in 27 1/3 innings, and he should get plenty of run support here from an in-form L.A. lineup.
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Trend to know
The Under has hit in each of the Dodgers’ last four home games when the total is set between 9 and 10.5 runs, as it is this afternoon. Find more MLB betting trends for Nationals vs Dodgers
