Newcastle United vs. Aston Villa Betting Analysis and Prediction
Newcastle United made a big leap up the EPL rankings last year, going from 11th place in 2021-22 to fourth place and a Champions League spot.
Aston Villa also jumped seven spots from the previous season, snatching a spot in European football from Spurs on the final day of the season with a seventh-place finish.
Neither team will surprise opponents this season, and Newcastle have already spent more of their Saudi owners’ money on reinforcements this summer. From the EPL odds for this Saturday’s opener, we can take a look at some Newcastle United vs Aston Villa best bets.
Newcastle United vs Aston Villa
Locationof the game: St. James Park. Newcastle upon Tyne, England.
Date & Time: Saturday, August 12. 12:30 p.m. ET.
How to watch: NBC & Peacock streaming
These teams met in a preseason game in Philadelphia last month with a wild 3-3 draw. Villa built a 2-0 lead in the first 15 minutes, but Newcastle tied the game before half. Villa scored first in the second half, but Newcastle tied it up with a half-hour to play, and no further goals were scored.
The home team won both league encounters last year in convincing fashion. The Magpies won at home 4-0 in October before Villa won at home 3-0 in April.
With a top-four finish under manager Eddie Howe, Newcastle now have a target on their backs. Liverpool, Chelsea, and Spurs are among the EPL teams gunning for that coveted fourth spot and Champions League qualification.
Newcastle brought in reinforcements this summer with Tino Livramento, Harvey Barnes, and Sandro Tonali as the big money spends. The attack runs through Alexander Isak and Callum Wilson, who scored 11 goals in the final 12 league games last season. They also have youngster Anthony Gordon who impressed with England’s European Champion U-21 side this summer.
Likewise, Villa will find things more difficult this season with games on four fronts and teams coming after their European spot. Manager Unai Emery has the experience to manage such a situation, and he also picked up summer additions to help with depth. Aston Villa beat Lazio and Valencia in the preseason after draws against Newcastle and Brentford.
Pau Torres and Moussa Diaby cost a combined 82 million pounds as they joined from Villarreal and Bayer Leverkusen, respectively. Torres will anchor the back line while Diaby helps the likes of Ollie Watkins in attack. Youri Tielemens joined on a free transfer and should go into the starting lineup in the center midfield.
Fabian Schar is in a race to be fit for Newcastle after missing the last three preseason friendlies. New signee Tivo Livramento is expected to be available after joining practice this week. Enuk Krafth, Javi Manquillo, and Joe Willock are injured and out for this weekend.
Aston Villa has a handful of injuries for the weekend. Emi Buendia, Jacob Ramsey, Alex Moreno, Leander Dendoncker, Bertrand Traore, Tim Iroegbunam, and Jhon Duran are all expected to miss the trip to St. James Park.
Moneyline: Looking at the Newcastle United vs Aston Villa best bets, Newcastle is favored on the moneyline at -130. Villa is a +360 moneyline underdog, while a draw is +295.
Over/Under: Total goals is -139 to be over 2.5 and +103 to be under 2.5.
A slight lean toward Newcastle as the home team for a Newcastle United vs Aston Villa best bets.
- Both teams should score in this game, and the United offense may be slightly ahead of the new Villa defense for a 2-1 win.
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