Norma Dumont vs. Chelsea Chandler Analysis and Prediction

One of the most interesting upcoming UFC fights is this featherweight matchup between Norma Dumont and Chelsea Chandler. The UFC women’s featherweight division is looking like it’s going to fold, so this fight is very important for the future of the division. 

Follow along for the Dumont vs Chandler betting analysis and prediction ahead of making your UFC picks this weekend.

Norma Dumont vs. Chelsea Chandler

Location: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States

Date and Time: July 15, 2023, 10:00 PM ET main card start

How to Watch: ESPN+

Dumont is coming off a big win over Karol Rosa in April.

Chandler is looking to keep the momentum going after a big KO win over Julija Stoliarenko last October in her UFC debut.

Dumont is a Brazilian women’s featherweight fighter with a professional record of 9-2 with two submission wins. She is 5-2 in the UFC with no finishes. She averages 3.45 significant strikes landed and 2.07 absorbed per minute in the octagon.

With her low output of striking, she uses it to get to her wrestling. Dumont averages 1.16 takedowns per fight in the UFC, along with a 72% takedown defense.

Chandler is a 29-year-old fighter out of Stockton, California, that trains at Cesar Gracie Jiu-Jitsu. It’s clear to see she is adopting some of that confidence and swagger of that gym with the Diaz brothers and bringing it to women’s MMA. She is 5-1 with three finishes in her career so far.

She won her UFC debut last year via TKO. Standing at 5’8″, she will potentially be the slightly bigger fighter in the cage on Saturday. Chandler has the potential to make 135 lbs as well. 

No injuries have been reported to the UFC. 

According to Dumont vs Chandler betting lines, Dumont is the -140 betting favorite over the +115 underdog. The over/under is set at 2.5 rounds, with the ‘over’ running at -295 UFC odds. This means the oddsmakers expect this to go the distance.

The money-maker bets for this fight will be taking a chance on someone getting a finish. The money lines are great on either side as well. Both women have plenty of value in a bet.

On the technical side of this bout, we kind of know what both women’s game plans are. Dumont is going to try to wrestle her way into top control and grind out a decision. Chandler is on a mission to become a star. She is going to put pressure on Dumont and try to knock her out.

Dumont had a slight advantage in skills if this fight took place over a year ago, but from the content shown on social media, it seems like Chandler has improved. She could hang with Dumont in both striking and grappling before, and now it seems like she might have a chance to showcase her skills.

After breaking down this fight both analytically and through the film, there’s a bet to make. UFC picks are tough because of the narrow skill gap between all the fighters and how unpredictable the sport of MMA can be.

Despite the difficulty, we have an official Dumont vs Chandler betting prediction. Chandler is going to get her hand raised on Saturday night. It’s easy to want her to get the finish as she plans on doing, but getting Chandler at underdog odds is good enough.

Chandler’s money line at around +115 has tons of value in a very good pick. Chandler is set up to make a statement in her performance and then get on the mic and plead her case to a big fight next. This could be a weekend when the next female MMA star is formed.

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