William Gomis vs. Lucas Almeida Betting Analysis and Prediction

**Note**: At the time of publication, the fight was still on; however, hours later, it was canceled due to Lucas Almeida suffering an injury. This information was communicated on the fighter’s social media.

The next UFC fight card to turn your attention to is this weekend going down in the beautiful Paris, France. One of the key matchups setting the table for the heavyweight main event is this scrap scheduled in the featherweight division between William Gomis and Lucas Almeida.

Read more for the complete breakdown and betting analysis. Along with the official William Gomis vs Lucas Almeida prediction ahead of making your UFC bets this weekend.

William Gomis vs. Lucas Almeida Information

William Gomis vs Lucas Almeida

Location of the game: Accord Arena, Paris, France

Date and Time: Saturday, September 02. 3:00 PM ET main card start

How to Watch: ESPN+

Last Fight Record

Gomis is coming off a narrow split decision win over Francis Marshall in April.

Almeida is looking to bounce back from a submission loss to Pat Sabatini in June.

William Gomis vs. Lucas Almeida Betting Analysis

William Gomis

Gomis is a 12-2 professional MMA fighter out of France, with 6 TKO/KOs and one submission. At only the age of 26, he’s coming into this weekend in Paris with a 10-fight winning streak. He’s a long, lengthy featherweight at 6’0” with a 73” reach fighting out of the southpaw stance.

“Jaguar” has only two fights in the octagon. But he averages 1.97 significant strikes landed and 1.17 significant strikes absorbed per minute in the UFC, with an incredible 87% striking defense. To go along with his ability to strike well from a safe distance, he has landed three out of five takedowns attempted in the octagon thus far.

Lucas Almeida

Almeida is an exciting Brazilian featherweight MMA prospect with a professional record of 14-2. With nine TKO/KOs and five submissions, which means he has a rare 100% finish rate. His only two losses have been in a UFC octagon, so you could argue how well his skills translate at the highest level.

The Brazilian is also a lengthy featherweight at 5’11” and has a 71” reach on his side, fighting out of the orthodox stance. He strikes at a much more hectic pace, averaging both 5.29 significant strikes landed and absorbed in his three appearances. He has zero recorded takedowns and a 40% takedown defense.

Updates

No injuries have been reported to the UFC.

William Gomis vs. Lucas Almeida Betting Preview

A William Gomis vs Lucas Almeida prediction is tough to make without looking at what the betting lines are like going into fight week. Let’s take a closer look and see if any specific line can guide us to the best pick.

According to UFC odds, Gomis is coming into his hometown fight as the betting favorite at -152 at the start of fight week. Almeida is bringing up the rear as the +132 underdog. Since it’s still early on in the week, the only other line available is the over/under, and that’s set even at 2.5 rounds.

After seeing the lines, a little more trust goes into Gomis because the oddsmakers favor him. In a fight between two prospects with three or fewer UFC fights, the odds are a big tool to use for a little help on what pick to make. Sometimes, it can be tough to compare two fighters that have only fought the lower tier of UFC talent and on the prelims.

Grappling and Striking Fusion

From a technical view of this matchup, Gomis is going to be bringing in the more dynamic MMA skillset. He has long limbs that he uses well in striking from a distance, as well as locking them up in body locks or even threatening submissions from unorthodox angles in the octagon.

Almeida comes in with the intention of knocking someone out with every punch it looks like. He has shown that there are some moments of a lapse in cardio throughout the fight, where he starts throwing some big techniques and misses most of them.

William Gomis vs. Lucas Almeida Betting Prediction

This is just another example of how tough making UFC picks is. There are really no common grounds to compare these two prospects on. They both come with different styles and different backgrounds.

• But after breaking down this featherweight bout as much as possible, the official William Gomis vs Lucas Almeida prediction is that Gomis will get his hand raised on Saturday in what will be a key win in his young career.

He is too slick in his unique style of fighting. His long arms will be a big factor in locking up positions against the cage and landing shots from a distance.

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