North Carolina (UNC) vs. NC State Prediction, Preview, and Odds
North Carolina Tar Heels (8-3) vs. NC State Wolfpack (8-3)
The North Carolina Tar Heels head to Carter-Finley Stadium in Raleigh, North Carolina, to face off against the NC State Wolfpack in Week 13 of the 2023 college football season, so here’s the best North Carolina vs. NC State pick.
The Wolfpack aim for their third straight victory over the Tar Heels. NC State is a small 2.5-point home dog, while the total sits at 55.0 points.
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North Carolina lost at Clemson in Week 12
The North Carolina Tar Heels (8-3; 6-5 ATS; 4-3 Conf.) failed to extend their winning streak to three games last Saturday, suffering a 31-20 defeat at Clemson. After a 59-7 thrashing of Campbell and a 47-45 double-overtime victory against Duke, the Tar Heels suffered their second straight loss on the road.
North Carolina lost the turnover battle 3-2 in Clemson and was outgained by the Tigers 466-457 in total yards. The Tar Heels kept the ball in possession for just 21:49. Drake Maye completed only 16 of his 36 passing attempts while throwing for 209 yards, a touchdown, and an interception, and Omarion Hampton led the charge with 19 carries for 178 yards and two touchdowns.
The Tar Heels are scoring 38.1 points per game (tied-11th in the nation) on 311.6 passing yards (8th) and 203.2 rushing yards (13th). They are surrendering 26.0 points in return (66th) on 234.0 passing yards (82nd) and 162.5 rushing yards (91st). The Tar Heels have allowed 31 or more points in five of their previous six outings at any location.
NC State eyes its fifth consecutive W
The No. 22 NC State Wolfpack (8-3; 5-5-1 ATS; 5-2 Conf.) are rolling on a four-game winning streak following a 35-28 road victory at Virginia Tech in Week 12. They outgained the Hokies 408-349 in all-purpose yards and won the turnover battle 1-0 to come out on top as 2.5-point underdogs.
Brennan Armstrong went bonkers last Saturday. He tossed for 203 yards and two touchdowns and carried the pigskin 21 times for 89 yards and a couple of scores. Kevin Concepcion caught seven passes for 63 yards and two touchdowns while throwing a TD pass to Trent Pennix, and Payton Wilson led the way for the Wolfpack’s defense with 3.5 tackles for loss and a sack.
The Wolfpack are tallying 25.7 points per game (78th in the nation) on 183.9 rushing yards (109th) and 148.1 rushing yards (81st). They are yielding 20.2 points in return (tied-30th) on 215.5 passing yards (tied-49th) and 102.5 rushing yards (17th). The Wolfpack lean on their defense and have allowed just 57 points over their previous four games overall.
When it comes to college football picks, our NCAAF Predictions are stellar.
Best Bets for this Game
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There’s nothing to play for in this game besides pride, and I would lean on NC State’s stout defense to keep the Wolfpack close in this game. The Tar Heels are arguably a much better offensive team than NC State, but their defense has been pretty bad all season, and the Wolfpack will find a way to score in this matchup.
As I’ve mentioned above, the Wolfpack’s defensive unit has been nothing short of spectacular over the last few weeks. It’s hard to rush efficiently against this Wolfpack team, and I’m expecting to see a tight battle at Carter-Finley Stadium. NC State is 5-1 ATS in its last six games overall, whereas the Tar Heels have only covered once in their last five contests overall.
Prediction: NC State Wolfpack +2.5 (-110)
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NC State allows just 3.5 yards per carry and 5.2 yards per play. The Wolfpack know they have to bring their best defense in order to upset the odds and grab their third straight victory over the Tar Heels. Although UNC’s defense is pretty fragile, I’m not looking for a high-scoring affair.
The total has gone under in four of NC State’s last five games overall. Four of those five tilts have seen fewer than 42 points on the scoreboard. I’m not expecting the Wolfpack to shut down the Tar Heels but would still take the under.
Prediction: Go under 55.0 points (-110)
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