Nuggets vs. Jazz Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets
The Denver Nuggets (26-12) are favored (by 6.5 points) to extend a six-game road winning streak when they visit the Utah Jazz (18-20) on Wednesday, January 10, 2024 at 10:00 PM ET. The matchup has an over/under of 238 points.
Nuggets vs. Jazz Odds
How to Bet on Nuggets vs. Jazz
Game Time and Information
Who Will Win Nuggets vs. Jazz?
Nuggets and Jazz Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
In games this season they were favored by 6.5 points or more, the Nuggets have a 9-6-1 record against the spread.
When they have played as at least 6.5-point underdogs this season, the Jazz are 4-7 against the spread.
The two teams average a combined 6.8 fewer points per game (231.2) than this matchup’s total of 238 points.
Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 229.4 points per game, 8.6 fewer than the over/under in this matchup.
The average point total in Nuggets games this year is 11.3 fewer points than the over/under of 238 in this matchup.
The average point total for Utah this year is 4.3 points fewer than this game’s over/under.
Denver has a 17-20-1 record against the spread this season.
So far this season, the Jazz have put together a 22-16-0 record against the spread.
Nuggets Stats & Insights
The Nuggets’ +206 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 5.4 points per game) is a result of scoring 116.1 points per game (11th in the NBA) while allowing 110.7 per outing (third in the league).
The Nuggets win the rebound battle by 1.5 boards on average. They collect 44.0 rebounds per game, which ranks 12th in the league, while their opponents pull down 42.5 per contest.
Denver makes 11.8 three-pointers per game (22nd in the league) at a 37.4% rate (10th in the NBA), compared to the 11.4 its opponents make while shooting 36.2% from deep.
The Nuggets average 120.1 points per 100 possessions on offense (eighth in the league), and give up 114.5 points per 100 possessions (11th in the NBA).
So far in 2023-24, the Nuggets’ offense has been significantly better at home, where they score 120.5 points per game, compared to on the road, where they average 111.6 per game. Defensively, they have been slightly tougher when playing at home, where they surrender 110.6 points per game, versus playing on the road, where they let opponents to average 110.7 per game.
Jazz Stats & Insights
The Jazz put up 115.1 points per game (16th in league) while allowing 118.7 per contest (23rd in NBA). They have a -137 scoring differential and have been outscored by 3.6 points per game.
Utah wins the rebound battle by an average of 4.0 boards. It collects 46.4 rebounds per game (third in league) compared to its opponents’ 42.4.
The Jazz connect on 13.1 three-pointers per game (11th in the league) at a 35.1% rate (26th in NBA), compared to the 14.1 their opponents make, shooting 37.4% from beyond the arc.
The Jazz’s 115.2 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 20th in the NBA, and the 118.8 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 23rd in the league.
At home Utah is putting up 121.3 points per game, 10.8 more than it is averaging away (110.5).
Nuggets Key Players to Watch
Nikola Jokic averages 25.5 points and 11.8 rebounds per game, with 9.2 assists.
The Nuggets get 2.8 three-pointers per game out of Michael Porter Jr..
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope averages 1.4 takeaways per game, and Jokic records 0.9 rejections per contest.
Jazz Key Players to Watch
Lauri Markkanen pours in 23.5 points per game and also tacks on 8.6 rebounds and 1.6 assists per contest.
John Collins has per-game averages of 14.0 points, 0.9 assists and 7.7 rebounds this season.
Markkanen averages 3.3 made threes per game.
Talen Horton-Tucker’s 1.1 steals and Walker Kessler’s 2.6 blocks per game are vital to the Jazz’s defensive performance.
Under (238)
Nuggets 117 – Jazz 113
