Heat vs. Jazz Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets

The Utah Jazz (27-33) are 7-point underdogs as they look to stop a five-game road slide when they take on the Miami Heat (33-26) on Saturday, March 2, 2024 at FTX Arena. The game airs at 5:00 PM ET on NBA. The matchup’s over/under is set at 226.5.

Heat vs. Jazz Odds

How to Bet on Heat vs. Jazz

Game Time and Information

Who Will Win Heat vs. Jazz?

Heat and Jazz Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

When they have played as at least 7-point favorites this season, the Heat are 4-5 against the spread.

The Jazz have a 5-9 record against the spread when an underdog by 7 points or more this year.

The Heat and the Jazz combine to average 1.4 more points per game than the over/under of 226.5 set for this game.

Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 230.1 points per game, 3.6 more than the over/under in this game.

The Heat’s average point total in matchups this season is 220.1, 6.4 points fewer than the over/under in this game.

The average total for Utah’s games this season is 11.4 more points than the point total of 226.5 for this outing.

So far this season, Miami has compiled a 30-27-2 record against the spread.

So far this year, the Jazz have put together a 32-28-0 record against the spread.

Heat Stats & Insights

The Heat have a +37 scoring differential, putting up 110.4 points per game (27th in the league) and giving up 109.7 (second in the NBA).

The Heat rank 23rd in the league at 42.2 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 42.9 their opponents average.

Miami makes 12.4 three-pointers per game (17th in the league) at a 37.3% rate (11th in the NBA), compared to the 13.3 its opponents make while shooting 36.2% from beyond the arc.

The Heat’s 114.7 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 22nd in the NBA, and the 114.0 points they allow per 100 possessions rank seventh in the league.

The Heat have scored at a much higher rate at home than away from home in the 2023-24 season (113.1 at home versus 107.9 on the road), but have also allowed more points at home than away from home (113.0 opponent points per home game versus 106.8 on the road).

Jazz Stats & Insights

The Jazz have been outscored by 2.9 points per game (posting 117.5 points per game, ninth in league, while conceding 120.4 per contest, 25th in NBA) and have a -174 scoring differential.

Utah wins the rebound battle by 4.2 boards on average. It collects 46.4 rebounds per game, third in the league, while its opponents grab 42.2.

The Jazz knock down 13.3 three-pointers per game (12th in the league), 1.1 fewer than their opponents. They are shooting 35.8% from beyond the arc (23rd in NBA) and opponents are shooting 39.1%.

The Jazz rank 15th in the NBA with 117.2 points scored per 100 possessions, and 26th defensively with 120.1 points conceded per 100 possessions.

In 2023-24 Utah is scoring 11.1 more points per game at home (123.2) than away (112.1).

Heat Key Players to Watch

Bam Adebayo accumulates 20.3 points and 10.4 rebounds and 4.1 assists per game.

The Heat get 2.8 three-pointers per game out of Duncan Robinson.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. averages 1.1 steals per game, while Adebayo has 1.0 block per contest.

Jazz Key Players to Watch

Lauri Markkanen pours in 23.0 points per game and also tacks on 8.3 rebounds and 1.9 assists per contest.

John Collins has per-game averages of 14.3 points, 1.2 assists and 8.5 rebounds this season.

Markkanen averages 3.2 made threes per game.

The Jazz’s defensive effort gets a boost from Kris Dunn’s 1.1 steals and Walker Kessler’s 2.7 blocks per game.

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