Orioles vs. Guardians Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

The Baltimore Orioles (34-20) and Cleveland Guardians (24-29) meet on Tuesday at 7:05 PM ET, at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

The Orioles are favored (-143 on the moneyline) when they take on the Guardians (+123). The matchup has an over/under of 8.5 total runs.

The betting insights in this article use the latest odds as of May 30, 2023 at 11:14 AM ET. Ready to bet?

Orioles vs Guardians Betting Lines

Orioles Betting Insights

• This season, the Orioles have been favored 28 times and won 20, or 71.4%, of those games.
• Baltimore has a record of 18-4 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -143 on the moneyline.
• The Orioles have a 58.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Games involving Baltimore has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 22 of 47 chances this season.
• The Orioles are 28-19-0 against the spread this season.

Orioles Last 10 Games Trend

Guardians Betting Insights

• The Guardians have been chosen as underdogs in 18 games this year and have walked away with the win seven times (38.9%) in those games.
• This year, Cleveland has won two of five games when listed as at least +123 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 44.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Cleveland and its opponents have gone over in 13 of its 45 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Guardians have an against the spread mark of 20-25-0 in 45 games with a line this season.

Guardians Last 10 Games Trend

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Orioles Probable Pitcher – Kyle Gibson

• Gibson and his team have a record of 5-4-0 against the spread when he starts.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Thursday, when he threw seven scoreless innings against the New York Yankees while allowing two hits.
• Gibson has pitched five or more innings in five straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• Gibson’s team is 3-2 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
• In games Gibson has started, his team is 7-4.
• Games started by Gibson have a 2-7-0 record at hitting the over this season.

Orioles Relief Pitchers

Guardians Probable Pitcher – Cal Quantrill

• Quantrill (2-3) gets the starting nod for the Guardians in his 11th start of the season. He’s put together a 4.75 ERA in 55 2/3 innings pitched, with 31 strikeouts.
• His last time out was on Wednesday against the Chicago White Sox, when the righty tossed four innings, surrendering six earned runs while giving up four hits.
• Quantrill is looking to secure his eighth start of five or more innings this year in this matchup.
• The Guardians are 3-1 in Quantrill’s four starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
• Quantrill’s team is 6-4 in his 10 starts.
• Quantrill’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in two of nine games.

Guardians Relief Pitchers

Orioles Hitting Trends

• The Orioles have racked up at least two home runs in 24 games this season, and are 16-8 in those outings.
• Baltimore has gone 13-1 in its 14 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
• The club has notched at least eight hits 35 times this season, and has a 23-12 record in those games.
• Baltimore is 26-7 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
• The Orioles have drawn five or more walks in 17 games this season, and are 14-3 in those contests.

Guardians Hitting Trends

• They have won four of the six games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
• Cleveland has won three of its seven games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
• In 26 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 13-13.
• Cleveland has won 10 of its 13 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
• In 16 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 8-8

Orioles vs. Guardians Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Orioles (-143)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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