Ottawa Senators at Toronto Maple Leafs odds, picks and predictions

The Ottawa Senators (4-6-0) visit the Toronto Maple Leafs (6-4-2) on Wednesday at Scotiabank Arena. Puck drop is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Senators vs. Maple Leafs odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

The Senators fired out of the box with 3 victories in the 1st 4 games, but Ottawa has managed just a single win in the past 6 outings, picking up just 2 of a possible 12 points. Ottawa allowed just 5 total goals during a 3-game win streak from Oct. 14-18, but it has conceded 25 goals across the past 6 outings since, or 4.2 goals per game (GPG).

The Maple Leafs picked up a much-needed 6-5 OT win against the visiting Tampa Bay Lightning Monday night, snapping an 0-2-2 skid. The Over cashed in the past 2 outings, scoring 10 goals, while allowing 11. The Under had been 7-0-1 in the previous 8 games prior to the Over run.

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Senators at Maple Leafs odds

FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:05 p.m. ET.

Senators at Maple Leafs projected goalies

Joonas Korpisalo (2-4-0, 3.44 GAA, .902 SV%) vs. Joseph Woll (4-3-0, 2.30 GAA, .930 SV%)

Korpisalo was yanked from his most recent start against the Lightning, allowing 3 goals on 21 shots in a 6-4 setback Saturday. He has won just once in his past 5 starts and 6 appearances since Oct. 15.

Korpisalo is 1-2-0 with a 3.36 GAA and .919 SV% in 3 road starts this season. He lost his only start against the Leafs last season, allowing 3 goals on 41 shots in a 3-0 loss at home as a member of the Columbus Blue Jackets.

Woll also faced the Lightning last time out, allowing just a single goal on 19 shots in relief in a 6-5 comeback win in OT on Monday at Scotiabank Arena.

However, Woll is just 1-3-0 with a 3.53 GAA and .888 SV% in 3 starts and 4 appearances at home this season. This will be his 1st appearance against the Senators.

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Senators at Maple Leafs picks and predictions

Prediction

Maple Leafs 4, Senators 3

The Maple Leafs (-176) are a little on the pricey side, especially since Toronto hasn’t exactly given bettors a lot of confidence at the defensive end or in goal.

On the flip side, the Senators (+146) might be tempting as a moderate underdog, but they have won just once in the past 6 games. Plus, the Sens have won just once in the past 7 skates at Scotiabank Arena.

AVOID, and look to the puck line instead.

The SENATORS +1.5 (-160) are a slightly better play as moderate underdogs, if you would like a little bit of insurance.

The Maple Leafs -1.5 (+132) won in OT last time out as a favorite, although they obviously didn’t cover. Toronto is just 2-6 straight up in the past 8 as a favorite, while covering the puck line just once during the span.

OVER 6.5 (-134) is the lean, but it will cost you.

Still, the Over has cashed in each of the past 2 games for the Leafs, both at home. And the Over has hit at a 6-2-2 clip in 10 games this season for the Senators.