Pacers vs. Grizzlies: NBA odds, Picks and Predictions

Pacers vs. Grizzlies Odds

On Sunday, the Memphis Grizzlies will host the Indiana Pacers at the FedExForum. Entering play, Indiana (24-27) owns the ninth-best record in the Eastern Conference. Memphis (31-18) is 2.5 games behind the Denver Nuggets for the top seed in the Western Conference. In this matchup, oddsmakers are expecting a comfortable win for Ja Morant and company, pricing the Grizzlies as 8.5-point home favorites on the spread.

Indiana Pacers

Haliburton OUT

Tyrese Haliburton will remain on the sidelines for this contest against Memphis. Since Haliburton last played on January 11, the Pacers are 1-8 overall and rank 29th out of 30 teams in Net Rating. In that span, they rank 27th in offensive efficiency and 27th in defensive efficiency – struggling mightily on both ends of the floor.

Per Cleaning the Glass, Indiana ranks in the 66th percentile in offensive efficiency and the 33rd percentile in defensive efficiency with Haliburton on the floor this year, compared to the 15th percentile in offensive efficiency and the 29th percentile in defensive efficiency when he is on the sidelines.

Who will step up in place of Haliburton?

According to CourtIQ, Bennedict Mathurin and Myles Turner are the team’s two highest-usage players this season when Haliburton is not on the court. In these situations, Mathurin is averaging 25.8 points per 36 minutes of action. Turner is averaging 23.4 points and 9.8 rebounds per 36 minutes of action.

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Memphis Grizzlies

Adams OUT, Bane listed as doubtful

This evening, Steven Adams will miss his fourth consecutive contest. On the season, Adams is averaging 11.5 rebounds, which ranks fourth in the entire NBA. In Memphis’ last three games, they are 0-3 overall and have been outrebounded 142-114. Fortunately for the Grizzlies, they are playing an Indiana team today that ranks 17th in rebound percentage since Haliburton last played on January 11.

Bane is likely to miss his second straight game tonight as he continues to deal with right knee soreness. Per CourtIQ, when Adams and Bane are both out of the lineup this season, Jaren Jackson (+4.7%) sees the largest increase in usage of any player on the Memphis roster. Expect him to be heavily involved in the offense today, with foul trouble being the only concern as it relates to his production.

Sliding in the wrong direction

Following an 11-game winning streak, the Grizzlies have lost each of their last five contests – going winless on their west coast road trip this past week. However, a significant portion of their recent troubles are likely attributable to their stark home and away splits.

Playing in their home building this year, Memphis is an NBA-best 20-3. On the road, they are 11-15, with major regression in a number of key defensive metrics. They are likely to enjoy a bounce-back performance in this spot.

Pacers vs. Grizzlies – Picks & Predictions

Despite the absence of Steven Adams and Desmond Bane, the Memphis Grizzlies are the far superior team in this matchup. In 23 home games this year, Memphis is 20-3 with an NBA-best +11.0 Net Rating. Expect them to dominate on both ends of the floor, resulting in a comfortable win.

PICK: Grizzlies -8.5 (-107, BetRivers)