Pacers vs. Spurs Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets

The San Antonio Spurs (12-48) are 6.5-point underdogs against the Indiana Pacers (34-27) at AT&T Center on Sunday, March 3, 2024. The game tips at 7:00 PM ET on CW35. The over/under is 244.5 for the matchup.

Pacers vs. Spurs Odds

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Who Will Win Pacers vs. Spurs?

Pacers and Spurs Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Pacers have a 6-6-1 record against the spread in games they were favored by 6.5 points or more this season.

The Spurs have an 18-21 record against the spread this season when an underdog by 6.5 points or more.

The Pacers and the Spurs combine to average 8.6 fewer points per game than the over/under of 244.5 set for this game.

Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 242.7 points per game, 1.8 fewer than the over/under for this game.

The average total in Pacers games this year is 1.1 more points than the total of 244.5 in this game.

San Antonio’s games this season have averaged a total of 232.8 points, 11.7 fewer than the point total in this matchup.

Indiana has a 32-26-3 record against the spread this season.

The Spurs are 29-31-0 against the spread this year.

Pacers Stats & Insights

The Pacers are outscoring opponents by 1.5 points per game with a +90 scoring differential overall. They put up 123.6 points per game (first in the NBA) and give up 122.1 per outing (28th in the league).

The Pacers fall short in the rebound battle by an average of 2.0 boards. They are collecting 41.0 rebounds per game (28th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 43.0 per contest.

Indiana makes 13.6 three-pointers per game (seventh-most in the league), 2.6 more than its opponents (11.0).

The Pacers rank second in the league by averaging 121.5 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 25th in the NBA, allowing 120.1 points per 100 possessions.

In 2023-24, the Pacers’ offense has been much better at home, where they average 126.3 points per game, compared to road games, where they put up 120.6 per game. On defense, they have been tougher in home games, where they concede 121.0 points per game, versus road games, where they allow their opponents to average 123.3 per game.

Spurs Stats & Insights

The Spurs have been outscored by 8.3 points per game (posting 112.3 points per game, 23rd in league, while allowing 120.6 per outing, 26th in NBA) and have a -498 scoring differential.

San Antonio loses the rebound battle by 2.4 boards on average. It records 43.3 rebounds per game, 17th in the league, while its opponents pull down 45.7.

The Spurs hit 12.6 three-pointers per game (15th in the league), while their opponents have made 13.4 on average.

The Spurs’ 110.7 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 27th in the NBA, and the 118.9 points they concede per 100 possessions rank 24th in the league.

San Antonio averages 115.1 points per game at home, and 109.9 away.

Pacers Key Players to Watch

The Pacers active leader in points and assists this season is Tyrese Haliburton, who puts up 21.0 points per game to go with 11.4 assists.

Myles Turner’s averages this season are 17.2 points, 7.1 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game.

The Pacers get 3.0 three-pointers per game out of Haliburton.

Aaron Nesmith averages 1.0 steal per game, while Turner compiles 1.7 rejections per contest.

Spurs Key Players to Watch

Victor Wembanyama is at the top of the Spurs scoring and rebounding leaderboards with 20.7 points per game and 10.2 rebounds per game to go with 3.4 assists per contest this season.

Tre Jones has per-game averages of 9.9 points, 5.9 assists and 3.3 rebounds this season.

Devin Vassell averages 2.5 made threes per game.

Wembanyama is a solid defensive option with 1.3 steals and 3.3 blocks per game.

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