Thunder vs. Spurs Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets
The San Antonio Spurs (11-48) will try to break a five-game losing streak when they host the Oklahoma City Thunder (41-17) on Thursday, February 29, 2024 at AT&T Center as big, 11-point underdogs. The matchup airs at 8:30 PM ET on KENS. The over/under is set at 238 for the matchup.
Thunder vs. Spurs Odds
How to Bet on Thunder vs. Spurs
Game Time and Information
Who Will Win Thunder vs. Spurs?
Thunder and Spurs Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
The Thunder have a 5-3 record against the spread when favored by 11 points or more this season.
The Spurs are 7-4 against the spread when an underdog by 11 points or more this season.
The two teams average a combined 4.8 fewer points per game (233.2) than this game’s over/under of 238 points.
Opponents of the two teams average a combined 4.4 fewer points per game (233.6) than this game’s total of 238 points.
The Thunder’s average point total in matchups this year is 234.3, 3.7 points below the over/under in this game.
The average point total for San Antonio this season is 5.5 points fewer than this game’s over/under.
So far this season, Oklahoma City has compiled a 37-20-1 record against the spread.
The Spurs’ ATS record is 28-31-0 this season.
Thunder Stats & Insights
The Thunder outscore opponents by 8.3 points per game (scoring 121.3 points per game to rank third in the league while giving up 113.0 per contest to rank 11th in the NBA) and have a +481 scoring differential overall.
The Thunder rank 25th in the league at 41.7 rebounds per game. That’s 3.5 fewer than the 45.2 their opponents average.
Oklahoma City connects on 13.5 three-pointers per game (ninth-most in the league), while its opponents have made 13.4 on average.
The Thunder rank third in the league by averaging 121.5 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are fourth in the NBA, allowing 113.2 points per 100 possessions.
So far in 2023-24, the Thunder’s offense has been better at home, where they average 123.6 points per game, compared to road games, where they average 118.8 per game. Defensively, they have been better when playing at home, where they give up 111.8 points per game, versus road games, where they allow their opponents to score 114.3 per game.
Spurs Stats & Insights
The Spurs are being outscored by 8.7 points per game, with a -512 scoring differential overall. They put up 111.9 points per game (23rd in NBA), and allow 120.6 per outing (26th in league).
The 43.3 rebounds per game San Antonio accumulates rank 17th in the league, 2.6 fewer than the 45.9 its opponents collect.
The Spurs connect on 12.5 three-pointers per game (16th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 13.5. They shoot 34.3% from deep, and their opponents shoot 38.7%.
The Spurs put up 110.4 points per 100 possessions (27th in league), while giving up 118.9 points per 100 possessions (23rd in NBA).
In 2023-24 San Antonio is scoring 4.6 more points per game at home (114.5) than away (109.9).
Thunder Key Players to Watch
The Thunder active leader in points and assists this season is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who scores 31.2 points per game to go with 6.5 assists.
Chet Holmgren’s averages this season are 17.1 points, 7.8 rebounds and 2.7 assists per game.
Luguentz Dort makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Thunder, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 1.9 per contest.
Gilgeous-Alexander averages 2.1 takeaways per game, and Holmgren compiles 2.7 rejections per contest.
Spurs Key Players to Watch
Victor Wembanyama has been among the team’s best in both scoring (20.6 points per game) and rebounding (10.2 rebounds per game) while adding 3.3 assists per contest.
Tre Jones has per-game averages of 9.7 points, 5.9 assists and 3.3 rebounds this season.
Devin Vassell knocks down 2.5 threes per game.
The Spurs’ defensive efforts get a boost from Wembanyama (1.3 steals and 3.3 blocks per game).
Under (238)
Thunder 124 – Spurs 110
