Padres vs. Mets odds, line, picks, start time: Advanced computer model reveals best bets for April 11, 2023 matchup

The San Diego Padres look to stay hot when they take on the New York Mets in National League action on Tuesday. The Padres (6-5), who have won three of their last four games, were 45-36 on the road in 2022. The Mets (5-5), who went 2-1 in their last series, were 54-27 at home a year ago. San Diego won six of nine meetings with New York last season, including a 2-1 edge in the postseason.

The game is slated to begin at 7:10 p.m. ET from Citi Stadium in New York. The Mets are the -140 favorite on the money line (risk $140 to win $100) in the latest Padres vs. Mets odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total runs scored is 9 (see the latest lines for every game on our MLB odds page).

Before making any Padres vs. Mets picks, you NEED to see the latest MLB predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

This model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It went 331-285 on top-rated MLB money-line picks (+357) over the past two seasons, and it finished the 2022 MLB season on a 20-14 roll. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns!

The model knows New York is expected to send left-hander David Peterson (0-1, 6.00 ERA) to the mound. Peterson took the loss at Miami on March 31, pitching five innings, allowing eight hits and just one earned run, while walking one and striking out five. He followed that up with a no-decision in a 7-6 loss at Milwaukee last Wednesday. In that game, he gave up five earned runs on five hits, five walks and five strikeouts in four innings of work. He has faced the Padres just once in his career, giving up one earned run in one inning of relief.

The model also knows left-hander Ryan Weathers (0-0, 3.60 ERA) will start for San Diego. He is coming off a no-decision in a 5-4 win over Arizona last Monday. In that game, Weathers pitched five innings, allowing five hits, two earned runs with one walk and two strikeouts. This will be his first-ever appearance against the Mets. He started just one game a year ago, but went 4-7 with a 5.32 ERA in 30 games, including 18 starts, in 2021.

Now, it has set its sights on Padres vs. Mets. We can tell you the model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 9.2 combined runs, and it also says one side of the money line has ALL the value! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any MLB picks of your own.