Payton Talbott vs Nick Aguirre Pick, 11/18/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 82 Odds

Saturday, November 18, 2023

Payton Talbott will battle Nick Aguirre at UFC Vegas 82 on Saturday, November 18, 2023. The opening moneyline has Talbott at -550 while Aguirre is at +410.

Payton Talbott looks to add a win to his career record of 6-0-0. The 25-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The switch fighter has an arm span of 70". Nick "Slick" Aguirre stands in at 5'9" and weighs 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a win to his total of 7-1-0. The 27-year-old reaches 74". Concerning significant strikes, Payton Talbott is landing 9.67 per minute while Nick Aguirre connects on 0.93 significant strikes per min. Talbott is connecting on 51% of the significant strikes he attempts and Aguirre lands 31%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, Talbott takes 5.07 significant strikes per min and "Slick" allows 3.13. Talbott also stops 50% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Aguirre curbs 44% of the shots thrown in his direction.

Regarding wrestling, Payton Talbott is the more competent wrestler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 0.70 times per 3 rounds. Talbott is taking his opponents to the canvas on 15% of his attempts and is stopping 94% of all takedown tries against him. Aguirre is scoring a takedown on 15% of his takedown tries and thwarting 33% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Talbott is the lesser skilled fighter by attempting 0.6 finishes per 15 min while Aguirre goes for 1.0 finishes per 3 rounds.

In his last bout, Payton Talbott fought Reyes Cortez Jr. and wound up getting the victory by unanimous decision in round 3. Jr. landed 78 of 156 total strikes attempted in that contest. Talbott walked away from this fight having landed 163 of 300 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Jr. ended up landing 76 of 154, which gave him a rate of 49%. He finished the fight landing 45 of 115 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Talbott landed 51% of his significant strikes by connecting on 145 of 282. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 97 of 231 pointed at the head. 85% of the significant strikes landed by Jr. and 94% of them landed by Talbott were thrown at distance.

In the last bout for Nick Aguirre, he squared up with Dan Argueta and ended up taking the loss by unanimous decision in round 3. Argueta ended up landing 57% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Aguirre ended up landing 92% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Aguirre connected on 31% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 14 of 44. He connected on 14 of 42 significant strikes to the head. Argueta ended up landing 47 of 85 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 29 of 65 aimed at the head. Discussing total strikes that he threw in that fight, Argueta connected on 93 of 144 and Aguirre connected on 15 of 47 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts on the card to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Jonny Parsons faces off against Uros Medic. Parsons steps into the cage holding a record of 9-3-0. The 32-year-old steps on the scale at 170 lbs and stands in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 69". Medic measures in at 6'1" and tips the scales at 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 9-1-0. The 30-year-old has a reach of 71". In the grappling category, Jonny Parsons gets a takedown 0.50 times per 15 minutes and Uros Medic takes his opponents to the mat 0.53 times per 3 rounds. Regarding striking, Parsons is connecting on 4.65 strikes/minute and is landing 44% of the strikes that he throws. The other fighter in this bout is Uros Medic, who lands 61% of the strikes that he throws and lands an average of 6.97 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Joanderson Brito is set to face off with Jonathan Pearce. Pearce will be looking to add a win to his career record of 14-4-0. The 31-year-old weighs 145 lbs and comes in at 6'0". The switch fighter extends his reach 71". Brito measures in at 5'8" and steps on the scale at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a record of 15-3-1. The 28-year-old has an arm span of 72". Concerning wrestling, Jonathan Pearce prevents 59% of the takedowns his opponents try and is finishing his takedown attempts on 56% of his tries. Brito is finishing his takedowns on 72% of his attempts and is able to curb 15% of all takedown tries against him. With regard to striking, Pearce takes 3.66 strikes/minute and he is connecting on 6.11 strikes/minute. Brito, on the other hand, is absorbing 2.92 strikes/minute and dishes out 4.02 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Nick Aguirre (+410)

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