Benoit Saint Denis vs Thiago Moises Pick, 9/2/2023 Predictions UFC Paris Odds

Benoit Saint Denis vs Thiago Moises

UFC Paris

Accor Arena in Paris, France

Saturday, September 2, 2023

Benoit Saint Denis will face off with Thiago Moises at UFC Paris on Saturday, September 2, 2023. The moneyline has Denis at -148 while Moises is at +124.

Benoit "God of War" Saint Denis steps into the cage holding a record of 11-1-0 (1 NC). The 27-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and measures 5'11". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 73". Thiago Moises comes in at 5'9" and is weighing in at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 17-6-0. The 28-year-old has a reach of 70". Regarding significant strikes, Benoit Saint Denis lands 4.11 per min while Thiago Moises lands 2.47 significant strikes per minute. Saint Denis connects on 50% of the significant strikes he throws and Moises lands 39%. When it comes to defending themselves, "God of War" absorbs 6.14 significant strikes per minute and Moises allows 3.90. Saint Denis also stops 41% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Moises is able to defend against 56% of the shots thrown.

Concerning wrestling, Benoit Saint Denis is the more capable wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 3.80 times per 15 minutes. Saint Denis is getting his opponent to the mat on 29% of his tries and defending 85% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Moises is taking his opponents down on 41% of the takedowns he attempts and is defending 60% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Saint Denis is the more able fighter by trying 1.9 finishes per 3 rds while Moises goes for 1.3 finishes per 15 minutes.

In his previous fight, Benoit Saint Denis faced Ismael Bonfim and ended up getting the victory in the fight by rear naked choke in round 1. Bonfim ended up landing 15 of 26 total strikes attempted in that fight. Denis finished this fight landing 35 of 58 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Bonfim landed 14 of 24, which means his percentage was 58%. He ended up landing 9 of 19 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Denis landed 39% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 13 of 33. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 3 of 18 aimed at the head. 57% of the significant strikes landed by Bonfim and 84% of them landed by Denis were tallied at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Thiago Moises, he squared up with Melquizael Costa and wound up taking home the victory by rear naked choke in round 2. Costa ended up connecting on 91% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Moises ended up connecting on 50% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Moises ended up connecting on 66% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 22 of 33. He landed 14 of 25 significant strikes aimed at the head. Costa ended up landing 23 of 50 significant strikes in that fight. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up landing 2 of 19 aimed at the head. When discussing total strikes that he let go, Costa connected on 43 of 71 and Moises ended up connecting on 45 of 58 total strikes.

Other fights to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when William Gomis squares up in the Octagon against Lucas Almeida. Gomis looks to add a victory to his career record of 12-2-0. The 26-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and stands 6'0". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 73". Almeida stands in at 5'11" and is fighting at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 14-2-0. The 32-year-old extends his reach 71". When it comes to grappling, William Gomis scores a takedown 1.50 times per 15 minutes and Lucas Almeida takes his opponents to the mat 0.40 times per 3 rounds. When talking about striking, Gomis lands 1.97 strikes per minute and connects on 39% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Lucas Almeida, who lands 47% of the strikes he has thrown and lands 5.29 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Muin Gafurov is set to face off with Taylor Lapilus. Lapilus will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 18-3-0. The 31-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'6". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 73". Gafurov comes in at 5'7" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 18-5-0. The 27-year-old stretches 68". Regarding takedowns, Taylor Lapilus is preventing 81% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is finishing his takedown attempts on 40% of the times he tries. Gafurov is taking his opponents down on 27% of the tries he takes and is able to thwart 62% of all takedown tries against him. With regard to striking, Lapilus is taking 2.00 strikes per minute while he lands 3.77 strikes per minute. Gafurov, moreover, takes 2.90 strikes per minute and is dealing 3.07 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Thiago Moises (+124)

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