Pedro Munhoz vs Kyler Phillips Pick, 3/9/2024 Predictions UFC 299 Odds

Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida

Saturday, March 9, 2024

Pedro Munhoz will enter the Octagon with Kyler Phillips at UFC 299 on Saturday, March 9, 2024. The moneyline has Munhoz coming in at +215 while Phillips is coming in at -265.

Pedro "The Young Punisher" Munhoz looks to add a win to his record of 20-8-0 (2 NC). The 37-year-old weighs 135 lbs and comes in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 65". Kyler "The Matrix" Phillips measures 5'8" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 11-2-0. The 28-year-old has an arm span of 72". When talking about significant strikes, Pedro Munhoz is landing 5.45 per minute while Kyler Phillips lands 5.36 significant strikes per min. Munhoz is landing 43% of the significant strikes he throws and Phillips lands 46%. Regarding defense, "The Young Punisher" takes 6.14 significant strikes per min and "The Matrix" takes 3.36. Munhoz also curbs 56% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Phillips defends against 61% of the shots thrown his way.

Concerning takedowns, Pedro Munhoz is not as effective of a wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 0.47 times per 3 rounds. Munhoz is scoring a takedown on 19% of his tries and stopping 82% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Phillips is taking his opponents to the mat on 46% of his takedown attempts and defending 70% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. In terms of going for the submission, Munhoz is less apt at going for the finish by trying 0.5 subs per 15 min while Phillips attempts 0.6 subs per 15 min.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Pedro Munhoz faced Marlon Vera and wound up taking the loss by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Vera landed 141 of 251 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Munhoz finished this fight landing 113 of 246 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Vera landed 141 of 251, which gave him a rate of 56%. He ended up landing 109 of 212 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Munhoz ended up landing 45% of his significant strikes by sticking 113 of 246. Of all the significant strikes, he was 53 of 177 to the head. 97% of the significant strikes connected on by Vera and 98% of them landed by Munhoz were thrown at a distance.

In the last bout for Kyler Phillips, he squared up with Raoni Barcelos and ended up getting the victory in the fight by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Barcelos ended up landing 84% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Phillips ended up connecting on 86% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Phillips ended up landing 38% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 72 of 187. He ended up connecting on 40 of 146 significant strikes to the head. Barcelos landed 46 of 116 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up landing 20 of 87 to the head. When discussing total strikes attempted in that fight, Barcelos ended up connecting on 52 of 124 and Phillips ended up connecting on 80 of 196 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Michel Pereira fights Michal Oleksiejczuk. Pereira looks to add a victory to his total of 29-11-0 (2 NC). The 30-year-old will fight at 185 lbs and measures in at 6'1". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 73". Oleksiejczuk measures in at 6'0" and weighs in at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 19-6-0 (1 NC). The 29-year-old reaches 74". When it comes to grappling, Michel Pereira gets a takedown 1.56 times per 15 min while Michal Oleksiejczuk is able to score a takedown 0.76 times per 3 rounds. When talking about striking, Pereira is connecting on 5.09 strikes per minute and connects on 53% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other fighter in this bout is Michal Oleksiejczuk, who is connecting on 50% of the strikes that he throws and lands 5.12 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Assu Almabayev is set to square up with CJ Vergara. Vergara walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 12-4-1. The 32-year-old weighs in at 125 lbs and stands 5'6". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 68". Almabayev stands in at 5'4" and steps on the scale at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 18-2-0. The 30-year-old has an arm span of 65". In the category of takedowns, CJ Vergara is stopping 74% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is finishing his takedown attempts on 15% of the times he tries. Almabayev is taking his opponents to the mat on 40% of his tries and deflects 15% of all takedown attempts. Concerning striking, Vergara is taking 5.01 strikes per minute and he connects on 6.01 strikes/minute. Almabayev, in contrast, absorbs 0.49 strikes per min and is connecting on 3.18 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Pedro Munhoz (+215)

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