Caio Borralho vs Abus Magomedov Pick, 11/4/2023 Predictions UFC Sao Paulo Odds

Caio Borralho vs Abus Magomedov

UFC Sao Paulo

Ibirapuera Gymnasium in Sao Paulo, Brazil

Saturday, November 4, 2023

Caio Borralho will battle Abus Magomedov at UFC Sao Paulo on Saturday, November 4, 2023. The opening line has Borralho priced at -250 while Magomedov is priced at +205.

Caio "The Natural" Borralho comes into this fight with a record of 14-1-0 (1 NC). The 30-year-old will fight at 185 lbs and stands 5'10". The southpaw fighter stretches 75". Abus Magomedov comes in at 6'2" and will fight at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his record of 25-5-1. The 33-year-old has an arm span of 78". In the category of significant strikes, Caio Borralho connects on 2.59 per min while Abus Magomedov lands 5.60 significant strikes per minute. Borralho lands 61% of the significant strikes he throws while Magomedov connects on 50%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, "The Natural" absorbs 1.86 significant strikes per min and Magomedov takes 8.39. Borralho also defends 59% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Magomedov thwarts 57% of them.

Regarding grappling, Caio Borralho is the more apt wrestler as he gets a takedown 2.63 times per 15 minutes. Borralho is finishing his takedown attempts on 66% of his tries and is stopping 57% of all takedown tries against him. Magomedov is taking his opponents to the canvas on 50% of his takedown tries and is defending 15% of the attempts against him. When it comes to going for the submission, Borralho is the more skilled of the two fighters by going for 0.7 finishes per 15 min while Magomedov looks to get 0.3 finishes per 15 min.

In his last bout, Caio Borralho squared up with Michal Oleksiejczuk and took home the win via rear naked choke in round 2. Oleksiejczuk ended up landing 30 of 65 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Borralho walked away from this fight having landed 52 of 74 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Oleksiejczuk landed 30 of 65, giving him a percentage of 46%. He ended up landing 13 of 44 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Borralho landed 61% of his significant strikes by connecting on 34 of 55. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 19 of 37 pointed at the head. 86% of the significant strikes landed by Oleksiejczuk and 52% of them landed by Borralho were tallied at distance.

In the last bout for Abus Magomedov, he squared up with Sean Strickland and was defeated by a punch to the head while on the ground in round 2. Strickland connected on 82% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Magomedov ended up landing 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Magomedov landed 46% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 47 of 101. He ended up landing 21 of 68 significant strikes aimed at the head. Strickland connected on 81 of 188 significant strikes in that contest. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 80 of 186 to the head. When discussing total strikes that he let go in that fight, Strickland ended up landing 81 of 188 while Magomedov connected on 47 of 101 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights to keep an eye on

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Rodolfo Vieira opposes Armen Petrosyan. Vieira holds a mark of 9-2-0. The 34-year-old weighs 185 lbs and measures in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 73". Petrosyan comes in at 6'3" and is fighting at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 9-2-0. The 32-year-old has an arm span of 71". In terms of takedowns, Rodolfo Vieira takes his opponents to the mat 3.70 times per 15 minutes while Armen Petrosyan gets a takedown 0.23 times per 3 rds. When talking about striking, Vieira connects for an average of 3.36 strikes per min and landing 54% of the strikes that he attempts. The other fighter in this bout is Armen Petrosyan, who lands 52% of the strikes he attempts and connects on 5.97 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Vinc Pichel is set to face off with Ismael Bonfim. Bonfim will be looking to add a win to his career total of 19-4-0. The 27-year-old is weighing in at 155 lbs and measures 5'8". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 71". Pichel stands in at 5'10" and will fight at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 14-3-0. The 40-year-old extends his reach 72". Regarding wrestling, Ismael Bonfim prevents 81% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is finishing his takedown attempts on 28% of the times he tries. Pichel is taking his opponents down on 54% of his tries and deflects 23% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the matter of striking, Bonfim is taking 2.66 strikes/min and he dishes out 4.91 per min. Pichel, on the other side, is absorbing 2.50 strikes per minute and lands 3.56 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Abus Magomedov (+205)

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