Cory Sandhagen vs Rob Font Pick, 8/5/2023 Predictions UFC Nashville Odds

Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, TN

Saturday, August 5, 2023

Cory Sandhagen will take on Rob Font at UFC Nashville on Saturday, August 5, 2023. The opener has Sandhagen priced at -295 while Font is coming in at +245.

Cory Sandhagen walks into the Octagon with a record of 16-4-0. The 31-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'11". The switch fighter has a reach of 70". Rob Font stands in at 5'8" and tips the scales at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 20-6-0. The 36-year-old has a reach of 71". Regarding significant strikes, Cory Sandhagen lands 5.98 per minute and Rob Font lands 6.46 significant strikes per minute. Sandhagen lands 44% of the significant strikes he throws and Font is connecting on 46%. In terms of defending themselves, Sandhagen takes 3.90 significant strikes per min while Font takes 4.03. Sandhagen also deflects 57% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Font stops 56% of them.

In terms of grappling, Cory Sandhagen is not as effective of a wrestler as he scores a takedown 0.89 times per 3 rounds. Sandhagen is taking his opponents to the canvas on 21% of his tries and stopping 64% of the attempts against him. Font is getting his opponent to the mat on 36% of the takedowns he attempts and stuffing 55% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Sandhagen is less apt at going for the finish by trying 0.3 submissions per 3 rounds while Font attempts 0.4 submissions per 15 minutes.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Cory Sandhagen fought Marlon Vera and ended up getting the win by way of split decision in round 5. Vera landed 73 of 177 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Sandhagen walked away from this fight having landed 187 of 378 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Vera landed 58 of 158, which gave him a percentage of 36%. He ended up landing 28 of 105 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Sandhagen ended up landing 45% of his significant strikes by connecting on 128 of 280. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he was 84 of 226 aimed at the head. 91% of the significant strikes landed by Vera and 83% of them landed by Sandhagen were tallied at distance.

In the last bout for Rob Font, he went up against Adrian Yanez and got a win for the night by a punch to the head in round 1. Yanez ended up landing 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Font ended up landing 81% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Font landed 44% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 33 of 75. He ended up landing 30 of 69 significant strikes directed at the head. Yanez connected on 25 of 54 significant strikes in that fight. Of all the significant strikes, he connected on 21 of 49 to the head. Discussing total strikes attempted in that contest, Yanez landed 25 of 54 while Font ended up connecting on 33 of 75 total strikes.

Other bouts to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Dustin Jacoby enters the Octagon with Kennedy Nzechukwu. Jacoby will be looking to add a win to his career total of 18-7-1. The 35-year-old weighs 205 lbs and stands 6'3". The orthodox fighter reaches 76". Nzechukwu measures in at 6'5" and is fighting at 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 12-3-0. The 31-year-old has a reach of 83". In terms of takedowns, Dustin Jacoby scores a takedown 0.40 times per 3 rds and Kennedy Nzechukwu gets a takedown 0.69 times per 15 minutes. Regarding striking, Jacoby lands an average of 5.44 strikes per min and connecting on 47% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Kennedy Nzechukwu, who connects on 46% of the strikes he attempts and is landing 4.89 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Gavin Tucker is set to take on Diego Lopes. Lopes has a career record of 21-6-0. The 28-year-old weighs 145 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter stretches 72". Tucker measures in at 5'6" and is fighting at 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 13-2-0. The 37-year-old reaches 66". Concerning grappling, Diego Lopes defends against 36% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is taking his opponents to the mat on 15% of his tries. Tucker is finishing his takedowns on 42% of his tries and curbs 53% of all takedown attempts. With reference to striking, Lopes takes 5.24 strikes/minute and he lands 2.26 per minute. Tucker, moreover, is taking 4.28 strikes/minute and deals 4.39 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Cory Sandhagen (-295)

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