Penguins vs. Maple Leafs picks and odds: Bet on the over to hit Friday night

The Toronto Maple Leafs host the Pittsburgh Penguins on Friday. Pittsburgh won Wednesday's game.

Both Pittsburgh and Toronto's offenses are performing well. Bettors can find value in backing the Pens to keep it close on the road.

Pittsburgh beat Washington 4-1 on Thursday. The Penguins have been playing well recently, but their goalkeeping is still a problem. Toronto's goal is also an issue, with Matt Murray and Ilya Samsonov out injured. Erik Kallgren is the starter for Toronto. He has a below-average .890 save percentage in six games this season.

Pittsburgh won two of three games against Toronto last year. The Penguins have a HDCF% edge (58.67% to 56.63% over Toronto across the last two weeks) and are producing more offence.

Penguins and Maple Leafs are tied for second in the NHL with 21 second-period goals this season. They've also allowed 14 goals in that period. Pittsburgh and its opponent have scored a second period goal in eight of the last nine games.