Penn State at Purdue Big Ten Championship odds, tips and betting trends

The No. 10 seed Penn State Nittany Lions (22-12, 10-10 Big Ten) are squaring off in the Big Ten championship game against the No. 1 Purdue Boilermakers (28-5, 15-5 Big Ten). Tune in to see the title game Sunday at 3:30 PM, live on CBS.

The Boilermakers head into their game against the Nittany Lions as a 7.5-point favorite. The matchup features a point total of 134.5.

Purdue is 13-19-1 against the spread, while Penn State’s ATS record this season is 19-14-1. The Boilermakers have a 15-18-0 record hitting the over, while games involving the Nittany Lions have a record of 20-14-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The teams average 145.8 points per game, 11.3 more points than this matchup’s total. Purdue is 3-7 against the spread and 6-4 overall in its last 10 games, while Penn State has gone 7-2-1 against the spread and 8-2 overall.

Here is what you need to prepare for Sunday’s college basketball matchup.

How to watch Purdue vs. Penn State

• Game Day: Sunday, March 12, 2023
• Game Time: 3:30 PM ET
• TV Channel: CBS

Find out how to watch for free with fuboTV.

Penn State at Purdue odds, spread and lines

• Spread: Purdue -7.5
• Total: 134.5
• Moneyline: Purdue -342, Penn State +270

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Purdue vs. Penn State prediction

Purdue 73, Penn State 66

Moneyline

• Purdue is 23-3 in games when it was favored on the moneyline (winning 88.5%).
• In games they have played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -342 or shorter, the Boilermakers have a record of 16-1 (94.1% winning percentage).
• Purdue has an implied moneyline win probability of 77.4% in this game.

• Penn State has been underdogs in 15 games this season and won seven (46.7%) of those contests.
• The Nittany Lions are 2-2 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +270 or more on the moneyline.
• Penn State has a 27.0% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Against the spread

• Purdue is 13-19-1 ATS this season.
• Penn State has won 19 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover or pushing 15 times.
• The Boilermakers average just 4.9 more points per game (73.3) than the Nittany Lions give up (68.4).
• When Purdue scores more than 68.4 points, it is 11-10-1 against the spread and 20-2 overall.
• Penn State is 13-9-1 against the spread and 17-6 overall when allowing fewer than 73.3 points.
• The Nittany Lions put up 9.8 more points per game (72.5) than the Boilermakers give up (62.7).
• Penn State has put together a 15-8-1 ATS record and an 18-6 overall record in games it scores more than 62.7 points.
• Purdue has an ATS record of 11-16-1 and a 25-3 record overall when its opponents score fewer than 72.5 points.

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Over/Under

• The average implied total for the Boilermakers this season is 74.1 points, 3.1 more points than their implied total of 71 points in Sunday’s game.
• So far this season, Purdue has totaled more than 71 points in a game 22 times.
• The 72.2-point average implied total on the season for the Nittany Lions is 8.2 more points than the team’s 64-point implied total in this matchup.
• This season, Penn State has outscored its implied point total for this matchup (64) 25 times.

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