Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves Betting Analysis

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06 October 2023

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves Betting Analysis

On the postseason MLB schedule: the Philadelphia Phillies are at the Atlanta Braves in Game 1 in the National League Divisional Series on Saturday. These two MLB teams are quite familiar with each other, as they are both part of the National League East.

The Phillies finished second in the divisional race and went 90-72 on the season. Philadelphia eliminated the Miami Marlins in the first round, winning both games at home.

Phillies vs BravesPicks

Atlanta -1.5 at -102 over the Philadelphia Phillies in Game 1 on Saturday!

For the Braves, they are the top seed in all of the postseason. Atlanta finished with a 104-58 record in the regular season, best in all of the MLB standings. The Braves won 52 out of 81 games at home this season.

Let’s get to our Phillies vs Braves betting analysis!

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves Odds

Phillies vs. Braves Information

Before our Phillies vs Braves betting analysis, here is some information on one of the playoff MLB games:

Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves

Location of the game: Truist Park, Atlanta, GA.

Date & Time: Saturday, October 7. 6:07 pm EST.

How to Watch: TBS

Recent Scores

Philadelphia Phillies

Sunday, October 1st, 2023: 9-1 win at New York Mets
Tuesday, October 3rd, 2023: 4-1 win over Miami Marlins
Wednesday, October 4th, 2023: 7-1 win over Miami Marlins

Atlanta Braves

Friday, September 29th, 2023: 10-6 loss vs. Washington Nationals
Saturday, September 30th, 2023: 5-3 win over Washington Nationals
Sunday, October 1st, 2023: 10-9 loss vs. Washington Nationals

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves Betting Analysis

Before our MLB Picks, take a look at the updated MLB Odds:

Moneyline: Atlanta Braves -205, Philadelphia Phillies +172
Runline: Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-102), Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 (-118)
Total: 8.5

Phillies vs. Braves Betting Preview

The Braves will send Spencer Strider to the hill here. Strider made 31 starts on the season and won 20 games. He finished with a 20-5 record and an ERA of 3.86. Strider was electric with the strikeout this season, as he fanned 281 batters in 186.2 innings this season.

Strider finished his regular season on September 30th. In that game, Strider went five innings and allowed six hits and three runs against Washington.

Atlanta was the top-scoring team in all of Major League Baseball during the regular season. The Braves scored 947 runs. Ronald Acuna anchors the lineup and will be the 2023 Most Valuable Player. He hit .337, clubbed 41 home runs, and stole 73 bases.

Austin Riley and Matt Olson were great for Atlanta, as Riley was three RBIs shy of 100, and Olson led the team with 54 bombs and 139 RBIs. The Braves had four guys with 100+ RBIs on the season.

Philadelphia’s Pitching Puzzle for the Playoffs

As of publication, the Phillies had yet to announce a starting pitcher for this game. It is likely that Zack Wheeler and Aaron Nola will come back for Games 2 and 3 on Monday and Wednesday.

Many are guessing Ranger Suarez will get the start for Philadelphia. Suarez made 21 starts this season and went 4-6 with a 4.18 earned run average.

Looking at the MLB player stats, Trea Turner had a solid two-game series in the first round for Philadelphia. Turner had four hits in seven at bats and has turned his offense around over the last month. Bryson Stott had the big blow for the Phillies’ offense with a grand slam in Game 2.

Stott drove in five runs in the series. JT Realmuto also clubbed a home run and had seven total bases in the series. The Phillies are an offense that, once they get going, are deep and talented from top to bottom.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves Betting Prediction

Unless the Phillies make a bold move and go with Wheeler on short rest for this game, which would not seem like the best of moves, this game is going to go to the Braves. They are rested. They are healthy, and they can hit. Atlanta is chomping at the bit to get back at the Phillies from a season ago. Atlanta is at home. Strider should be good to go and ready to throw a gem.

Barring any late changes to the MLB injury report, our bet for this game is the Atlanta Braves run line.