Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction 9-10-23 MLB Picks

The Miami Marlins and the Philadelphia Phillies meet Sunday in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park. This will be the finale in a three-game series over the weekend. In the opener the Marlins eked out a close win, then on Saturday the Phillies evened it up with a four-run victory. Check back all season long for free MLB picks at Sports Chat Place.

Miami Marlins 

In the Friday opener of this set, Miami was down 2-0 going into the sixth inning but fought back for a 3-2 win thanks in part to a two-run homer from Jesus Sanchez. In game two the Marlins gave up five runs in the second inning and never came back in an 8-4 loss. Garret Hampson posted three hits and a solo homer along the way. 

Steven Okert will take the mound for the Marlins on Sunday. This year Okert is 3-1 with a 3.44 ERA and 65 Ks. 

Miami Marlins Team Facts

• The Marlins have won six of their last seven games against NL East opponents.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last nine road games against the Phillies following a loss.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Marlins' last four day games at Citizens Bank Park.
• The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three games.
• The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Philadelphia Phillies 

Over on the Phillies’ side, they were out-hit 7-5 in the Friday loss and ran out of steam down the stretch. Trea Turner provided a solo homer and two runs, though. In the game two matchup Philadelphia got three RBI from both Kyle Schwarber (homer) and Brandon Marsh (two hits). Nick Castellanos added two hits and two RBI as well. 

It’ll be Ranger Suarez in the Sunday start for the Phillies. Over his 18 starts so far this year Suarez is 2-6 with a 3.91 ERA and 94 Ks in 101.1 innings. Suarez is 0-2 with a 4.12 ERA over his last seven starts. 

Philadelphia Phillies Team Facts

• The Phillies have lost each of their last eight Sunday games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six home games against the Marlins following a win.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Phillies' last five day games against National League opponents.
• The Phillies have won the first inning in each of their last five Sunday home games against NL East opponents.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in each of their last five home games against National League opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Philadelphia Phillies ranks 5th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.440).
• The Philadelphia Phillies ranks 6th in the league for hits this season (1253).
• The Miami Marlins ranks 28th in the league for steals this season (69).
• The Miami Marlins ranks 28th in the league for walks this season (361).

ANDREW’S FREE PICK 

I might take a stab on the Phillies here. Suarez hasn’t had much luck in the win column lately, but he hasn’t been pitching too badly. In his last three starts combined, Suarez is 0-1 with six earned runs over 16.0 total innings. Thing is, Suarez was out for a couple weeks at the end of August with a hamstring strain so he hasn’t gotten that much work in lately. In the Saturday game two, Philadelphia got a great bullpen performance after Aaron Nola had some trouble in the fifth with four earned runs. Everything worked out though, and it was a nice outing for the offense as well. I like the Phillies to keep it up in the finale.