Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 7/30/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Sunday, July 30, 2023

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: AT&T SportsNet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-130) Pittsburgh (+110)

The Pittsburgh Pirates (45-58) are hosting the Philadelphia Phillies (56-47) at PNC Park on Sunday. The odds on this game have Philadelphia at -130 and Pittsburgh is sitting at +110. The over/under has been set at 9.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Aaron Nola and Quinn Priester.

Philadelphia has a slugging rate of .414 and have struck out 942 times, while being walked on 313 occasions. They have accrued 442 runs batted in in addition to 904 hits on the season, while their team batting average is .255. The Phillies have hit 186 two-baggers as a team and have hit 112 balls out of the stadium. They are sitting with 460 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .320. As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are scoring 4.5 runs/g, which ranks them 17th in baseball.

They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.18 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.23. Phillies pitchers have allowed 112 home runs and 449 runs in total (13th in the league). Philadelphia has yielded 834 base knocks (8.2 per 9 innings) in addition to 407 earned runs. The Phillies have a team earned run average of 4.01 over the course of the season (12th in the league), and the staff has rung up 936 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 294 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 3.90 as a team over the course of the season.

The Phillies relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 73.2% and has entered the game in 87 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 123 base runners this year with 35.0% of them earned a run for their team. Phillies relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 84 times as well as having 109 appearances in high leverage situations. The Phillies have dispatched 333 relievers to the hill so far this year. The relievers have notched 46 holds for the year (25th in the league). They have compiled 30 saves on the season and have blown 11 of 41 chances to get a save.

The Philadelphia Phillies have amassed 2,743 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 879 assists and 53 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .986 which ranks 16th in MLB, and have accumulated 73 double plays. The Phillies have converted 69.2% of baseballs in play into outs in their 8,229 innings on the field, which has them sitting 14th in MLB.

Nola has taken the ball for 1,361 innings and is sitting with 1,513 K's in his MLB career. His earned run average is 3.67 (555 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.119. He has surrendered 1,168 base knocks (7.7 hits per 9 innings) and has had 356 walks. Nola (87-68 win-loss mark in his career) has a FIP of 3.37 while going up against 5,558 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues.

Pittsburgh has tallied 97 home runs for the season to go along with 402 runs batted in. They have 178 two-baggers, while taking a walk 354 times and scoring 422 runs. The Pittsburgh Pirates are sitting with a team on-base percentage of .311 as well as a team batting average of .235 this season. The Pirates have a SLG% of .383 and they are scoring 4.10 runs per game (27th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 904 instances (15th in baseball) and have recorded 799 base knocks.

The Pirates hold a team WHIP of 1.376 and have a FIP of 4.42 as a staff so far this year. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.50 (859 strikeouts against 368 walks). They rank 21st in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 877. They have surrendered 115 long balls and they concede 4.93 runs per 9 innings (22nd in the league). The Pittsburgh pitching staff have conceded 496 runs this year while having a team ERA of 4.50 (452 earned runs allowed).

Pittsburgh has had relief pitchers enter the game in 38 save chances and they have recorded 26 saves. They are ranked 8th in the league with a save percentage of 68.4%, and they have sent 324 relief pitchers onto the diamond for the season. Their relief pitchers have come in 96 times in high leverage situations and on 100 occasions with runners on base. Pittsburgh relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 32.2% out of 152 inherited base runners. Sitting with 84 save situations, the Pirates have earned 44 holds in addition to 12 blown saves.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have turned 82 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .983 (25th in baseball). The Pirates have 853 assists, 61 errors and have accounted for 2,715 putouts for the year. In 8,145 innings played, the Pirates have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 68.6% (18th in MLB).

Priester (1-1 career record) has a 9.28 earned run average while surrendering 9.3 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.20 and he has faced 48 hitters during his MLB career. He has surrendered a total of 11 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.500 and a FIP of 8.4. In his MLB career, Priester has conceded 11 base knocks while earning 6 punch outs in 10 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (+110) and under 9.5 runs

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