Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction 8-27-23 MLB Picks
The St. Louis Cardinals and the Philadelphia Phillies meet Sunday in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park. This will be the final installment in a three-game weekend series. The Phillies took a five-run win in the Friday opener, then in game two the Phillies kept it up with a blowout victory. Check back all season long for free MLB picks at Sports Chat Place.
St. Louis Cardinals
The Cardinals got two RBI and a homer from Paul Goldschmidt in the Friday opener of this set, but otherwise were pretty quiet in a 7-2 loss. On Saturday in game two St. Louis had a brief lead in the third but didn’t score from there in a rough 12-1 loss. Luken Baker was the lone provider of an RBI on a solo home run.
In the starter role for the Cards on Sunday it’ll be Drew Rom. After one start so far Rom is 0-1 with a 14.73 ERA and four Ks in 3.2 innings. Rom gave up eight hits and four walks along the way.
St. Louis Cardinals Team Facts
- The Cardinals have won seven of their last nine games as road underdogs against the Phillies following a road loss.
- The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as underdogs.
- The Cardinals have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last five games as underdogs against National League opponents.
- The Cardinals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five games as underdogs against National League opponents.
- The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Cardinals' last three day games at Citizens Bank Park.
Philadelphia Phillies
Over on the Philadelphia side, they got home runs from both Kyle Schwarber (two RBI) and Alec Bohm (two runs) in the Friday victory. On Saturday Philly scored seven runs in the seventh inning alone on the way to 12 team hits. Nick Castellanos and Brandon Marsh each had two runs and three RBI.
Aaron Nola will take the mound for the Phillies on Sunday. Across his 26 starts this year Nola is 11-8 with a 4.49 ERA and 165 Ks in 160.1 innings. Nola is 3-2 with a 4.79 ERA in his last seven starts total.
Philadelphia Phillies Team Facts
- The Phillies have lost eight of their last 10 games as home favorites against the Cardinals following a home win.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven day games against NL Central opponents following a home win.
- The Phillies have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games against the Cardinals.
- The Phillies have led after 7 innings in each of their last four home games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the last three day games between the Cardinals and Phillies at Citizens Bank Park.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Philadelphia Phillies ranks T4th in the league for hits this season (1149).
- The Philadelphia Phillies ranks 5th in the league for doubles this season (244).
- The St. Louis Cardinals ranks 29th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.274).
- The St. Louis Cardinals ranks T2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (134).
ANDREW’S FREE PICK
I’ll stick with the Phillies in this one. Nola is pitching well right now. He’s 2-0 in his last three starts with seven earned in 17.0 total innings on 16 hits and six walks. As for Rom, there’s really nowhere to go but up after his rough start on August 21 versus the Pirates (3.2 innings; six earned). On Saturday Philly had a great offensive evening; five different players had multiple hits. That makes four or more runs in five straight games for the Phillies, and I think they’ll keep up the onslaught in the finale for the sweep.
