Phillies Vs Mariners: MLB Betting Lines & Predictions

The Philadelphia Phillies (11-12) and Seattle Mariners (10-12) square off in the first of a three-game series on Tuesday at Citizens Bank Park, at 6:40 PM ET. The Phillies are coming off a series victory over the Rockies, and the Mariners a series win over the Cardinals.

The Mariners (+106 underdog moneyline odds) are away versus the Phillies (-125). The over/under in the game is set at 9 total runs.

The betting facts in the following article use the latest odds as of April 25, 2023 at 3:14 PM ET. Ready to bet?

Phillies vs Mariners Betting Lines

Phillies Betting Insights

• The Phillies have been favorites in 15 games this season and won nine (60%) of those contests.
• Philadelphia has entered 12 games this season favored by -125 or more and is 8-4 in those contests.
• The Phillies have a 55.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 11 of its 23 games with a total this season.
• The Phillies have an ATS record of 9-14-0 in 23 games with a spread this season.

Phillies Last 10 Games Trend

Mariners Betting Insights

• The Mariners have been chosen as underdogs in six games this year and have walked away with the win two times (33.3%) in those games.
• This year, Seattle has won one of three games when listed as at least +106 or worse on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mariners have a 48.5% chance of pulling out a win.
• Contests with Seattle has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 12 of 22 chances this season.
• The Mariners are 10-12-0 against the spread in their 22 games that had a posted line this season.

Mariners Last 10 Games Trend

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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Bailey Falter

• Falter and his team are 1-3-0 ATS this season when he starts.
• The left-hander gave up three earned runs and allowed three hits in seven innings pitched against the Chicago White Sox on Tuesday.
• Falter’s team won his only start as a favorite this season.
• In games Falter has started, his team is 1-3.
• The teams have gone under the point total set by sportsbooks in each of the four games Falter has started this season.

Phillies Relief Pitchers

Mariners Probable Pitcher – Marco Gonzales

• Gonzales (1-0) takes the mound first for the Mariners in his fourth start of the season. He’s put together a 3.78 ERA in 16 2/3 innings pitched, with 15 strikeouts.
• The left-hander last pitched on Wednesday against the Milwaukee Brewers, when he tossed six innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up four hits.
• Gonzales will try to continue a four-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.4 innings per appearance).
• The Mariners were named the moneyline underdog for one Gonzales start this season — they won.
• Gonzales’ team has won one of his three starts.
• Gonzales has had three starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and one of those games finished over the total.

Mariners Relief Pitchers

Phillies Hitting Trends

• The Phillies have won all of the seven games this season when they hit two or more homers.
• Philadelphia is 7-2 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
• The club has racked up at least eight hits in 16 games this season, and is 9-7 in those contests.
• Philadelphia is 7-1 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
• The Phillies are 3-2 over the five games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Mariners Hitting Trends

• They are 3-2 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
• Seattle ranks 23rd in the majors with a .375 slugging percentage.
• They have a record of 5-3 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
• Seattle has a 7-4 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
• They have a 3-2 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Phillies vs. Mariners Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Phillies (-125)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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