Rays vs. Phillies Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

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Rays vs. Phillies Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

The Tampa Bay Rays hope to stop their three-game losing run against the Philadelphia Phillies (45-39), on Wednesday at 6:40 PM ET.

The Rays are favored (-119 moneyline odds) when they host the Phillies (+100). The over/under for this game is 9.

The betting facts in this article are based off odds valid as of July 5, 2023 at 11:18 AM ET. Ready to bet?

Rays vs Phillies Betting Lines

Rays Betting Insights

  • The Rays have won 51, or 68.9%, of the 74 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Tampa Bay has a record of 49-17, a 74.2% win rate, when favored by -119 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Rays, based on the moneyline, is 54.3%.
  • Games involving Tampa Bay has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 49 of 88 chances this season.
  • The Rays are 51-37-0 against the spread in their 88 chances this season.

Rays Last 10 Games Trend

Phillies Betting Insights

  • The Phillies have won in 13, or 43.3%, of the 30 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This season, Philadelphia has been victorious nine times in 24 chances when named as an underdog of at least +100 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 50% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Contests with Philadelphia has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 32 of 84 chances this season.
  • The Phillies have an against the spread mark of 38-46-0 in 84 games with a line this season.

Phillies Last 10 Games Trend

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Rays Probable Pitcher – Zack Littell

  • Littell helped his team cover the spread in his only opportunity this season as a starter.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Sunday against the Seattle Mariners, throwing one scoreless inning of relief without allowing a hit.
  • He is looking for his third appearance in a row with no earned runs allowed.
  • This will be Littell’s first game as the moneyline favorite this season.
  • Littell’s team won in his only start this season.
  • The only game started by Littell with a total this season hit the under.

Rays Relief Pitchers

Phillies Probable Pitcher – Taijuan Walker

  • Walker tries for his 10th win when he gets the start for the Phillies, his 18th of the season. He is 9-3 with a 3.93 ERA and 77 strikeouts in 89 1/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last outing on Friday against the Chicago Cubs, the righty went six innings, giving up one earned run while surrendering six hits.
  • Walker will aim to pitch five or more innings for his sixth straight start. He’s averaging 5.2 frames per outing.
  • He has had three appearances this season in which he did not surrender an earned run.
  • The Phillies are 3-3 in Walker’s six starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Walker’s team has put together a 12-5 record in his 17 starts.
  • Walker has had 17 starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and six of those outings finished over the total.

Phillies Relief Pitchers

Rays Hitting Trends

  • The Rays are 32-10 this season in games when they hit two or more home runs.
  • Tampa Bay has had five or more extra-base hits in 26 games this season, and has gone 24-2 in those outings.
  • The team has strung together eight or more hits in 66 games this season, and is 43-23 in those contests.
  • Tampa Bay has a 43-17 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Rays are 18-4 over the 22 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Phillies Hitting Trends

  • They have won 18 of the 25 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Philadelphia has won 16 of its 22 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have a record of 35-22 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • Philadelphia has won 33 of its 38 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have won 20 of their 27 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Rays vs. Phillies Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Rays (-119)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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