Reds Vs Phillies: MLB Betting Lines & Predictions

The Cincinnati Reds (4-7) take a three-game losing run into a home contest versus the Philadelphia Phillies (4-8), at 6:40 PM ET on Thursday.

The Reds are the home favorite (-132) versus the Phillies (+113). The total for this game is set at 9.

The betting insights in the following article reference odds valid as of April 13, 2023 at 3:12 PM ET. Ready to bet?

Reds vs Phillies Betting Lines

Reds Betting Insights

• The Reds have been favorites in three games this season and won two (66.7%) of those contests.
• Cincinnati is 2-1 this season when entering a game favored by -132 or more on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 56.9% chance of a victory for the Reds.
• Cincinnati’s games have gone over the total in seven of its 11 chances.
• The Reds are 8-3-0 against the spread in their 11 chances this season.

Phillies Betting Insights

• The Phillies have come away with two wins in the six contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, Philadelphia has come away with a win one times in four chances when named as an underdog of at least +113 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 46.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over the total this season in six of its 12 opportunities.
• The Phillies have an against the spread record of 4-8-0 in 12 games with a line this season.

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Reds Probable Pitcher – Nick Lodolo

• Lodolo has a record of 2-0-0 ATS in two starts with a spread this season.
• The left-hander last pitched on Saturday against the Philadelphia Phillies, throwing seven innings without allowing a run.
• Lodolo has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
• Lodolo’s team won his only start as a favorite this season.
• Lodolo’s team is 1-1 when he starts this season.
• In the two games with a total started by Lodolo this season, the teams did not hit the over both times.

Reds Relief Pitchers

Phillies Probable Pitcher – Bailey Falter

• Falter (0-1) makes the start for the Phillies, his third of the season.
• The left-hander last appeared on Saturday against the Cincinnati Reds, when he tossed five innings, allowing one earned run while giving up four hits.
• Falter is trying for his third straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.1 frames per start.
• The Phillies were the underdog on the moneyline for one Falter start this season — they lost.
• His team split the two matchups he’s appeared in this season.
• Falter’s two starts with a total this season both went under.

Phillies Relief Pitchers

Reds Hitting Trends

• The Reds rank 27th in MLB action with nine total home runs.
• Cincinnati ranks 23rd in baseball with a .385 slugging percentage.
• The team has totaled at least eight hits in six games this season, and is 2-4 in those contests.
• Cincinnati has a 3-1 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
• The Reds are 1-3 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Phillies Hitting Trends

• They’ve won all three of their games in which they’ve hit two or more homers this season.
• Philadelphia has won two of its four games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
• They have a record of 3-6 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
• Philadelphia has a 2-1 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
• The Phillies are 12th in the majors with an on-base percentage of .330.

Reds vs. Phillies Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Reds (-132)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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