Phillies vs. Marlins Predictions & Picks

Wednesday's contest between the Philadelphia Phillies (90-72) and Miami Marlins (84-78) matching up at Citizens Bank Park has a projected final score of 5-4 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of the Phillies, so it should be a tight matchup. The game will start at 8:08 PM ET on October 4.

The probable pitchers are Aaron Nola (12-9) for the Phillies and Braxton Garrett (9-7) for the Marlins.

Phillies vs. Marlins Game Info & Odds

• When: Wednesday, October 4, 2023 at 8:08 PM ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to Watch on TV: ESPN

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Phillies vs. Marlins Score Prediction

Our prediction for this game is Phillies 5, Marlins 4.

Total Prediction for Phillies vs. Marlins

• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

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Discover More About This Game

Phillies Performance Insights

• The Phillies have played as the favorite in seven of their past 10 games and won six of those contests.
• In its last 10 games with a total, Philadelphia and its opponents are 5-4-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
• There has not been a spread set for any of the Phillies' last 10 games.
• The Phillies have been favorites in 106 games this season and won 64 (60.4%) of those contests.
• Philadelphia has a record of 34-19, a 64.2% win rate, when favored by -150 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 60% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
• Philadelphia has scored the eighth-most runs in the majors this season with 796.
• The Phillies have a 4.04 team ERA that ranks 11th among all league pitching staffs.

Marlins Performance Insights

• The Marlins have played as the underdog in six of their past 10 games and have gone 3-3 in those contests.
• In its previous 10 matchups with a total posted by sportsbooks, Miami and its opponents are 5-4-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
• Bookmakers have not posted a runline in any of the Marlins' past 10 games.
• The Marlins have won in 40, or 46.5%, of the 86 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• Miami has a win-loss record of 12-19 when favored by +125 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 44.4% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• The offense for Miami is No. 26 in baseball scoring 4.1 runs per game (666 total runs).
• The Marlins have the 16th-ranked ERA (4.26) in the majors this season.

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