Phoenix Suns vs. Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, Preview, and Odds
The Phoenix Suns (39-28, 26-39-2 ATS, 29-38 O/U) meet the Milwaukee Bucks (43-24, 29-37-1 ATS, 31-34-1 O/U) in an inter-conference clash on Sunday afternoon. The Suns earned a road win against the Hornets on Friday. The Bucks registered a home win against the 76ers in their previous bout. The Suns beat the Bucks by a 114-106 score last month.
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Suns Conclude Road Trek
The Phoenix Suns are concluding a challenging four-game road trek. Phoenix has been hit or miss recently. Phoenix has work to do if they want to catch the Clippers atop the division, standing four games back. The squad is 3-2 in their last five games. They lost a road bout against the Celtics on Thursday and were 10.5 favorites in a 107-96 road win against the Hornets on Friday. The Suns have covered the spread in just one of their last five games.
Kevin Durant continues to dominate, sinking at least 35 points in three of his last five games. The 35-year-old power forward scored 45 points in a recent loss to the Celtics and has delivered an average of 28.1 PPG on 53% shooting. Devin Booker missed a few games last week with an ankle injury and has recovered. The 27-year-old shooting guard scored 21 points on Friday and has recorded an average of 27.3 PPG. He scored 32 points in the lone game against the Bucks this season. Bradley Beal has been a threat, netting at least 20 points in four of his last five bouts. The 30-year-old shooting guard has produced an average of 18.6 PPG.
Bol through the contact �� pic.twitter.com/lsMIy2wRkx
— Phoenix Suns (@Suns) March 15, 2024
The Suns have issued a 3-2 record in their last five road bouts including a win against the Nuggets. They covered the spread on two occasions in that span. Phoenix has netted 117 or fewer points in four of their last five games and is scoring an average of 116.8 points per game, ranking them 12th. They are conceding an average of 114.2 points, placing them 15th.
Bucks Remain Atop Division
The Milwaukee Bucks are seeking a second straight win. Milwaukee is in first place in the division, just 0.5 games ahead of the Cavaliers entering Saturday. The squad was hit with a road loss against Sacramento on Tuesday to conclude a road trek. Milwaukee returned home on Thursday with a convincing 114-105 home win against the 76ers on Friday night in a bout that had them marked as seven-point favorites. The Bucks have covered the spread in two of their last five games.
Giannis Antetokounmpo has been incredible, amassing at least 32 points in four of his last five games. The 29-year-old star is having another dazzling season. He is sporting an average of 30.8 PPG along with 11.2 RPG on the year. Antetokounmpo collected 34 points in the only meeting against the Suns. Damian Lillard has also been in a groove, netting at least 20 points in three of his last five bouts. The 33-year-old point guard earned 17 points on Thursday and has reported an average of 24.3 PPG on 42% shooting. Khris Middleton has not played in over a month. He is nearing a return. The veteran small forward is posting an average of 14.8 PPG.
— Milwaukee Bucks (@Bucks) March 15, 2024
The Bucks are 4-1 in their last four home clashes, covering in all but one game in that span. This includes a win against the Clippers. Milwaukee is averaging 120.4 points on the year, good for fourth. They have conceded at least 123 points in three of their last five games and are keeping opponents to 117.1 points, positioning them 19th.
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The Phoenix Suns have not been a reliable squad to back recently. They are only 4-4 in their last eight games, covering the spread on just two occasions in that span. The Milwaukee Bucks continue to succeed, issuing a 7-3 record in their last ten games.
Furthermore, Phoenix has been kept in check recently, averaging only 112.5 points in its last five games, below its season average. Milwaukee is the superior offensive squad. Phoenix is averaging 117 points per 100 possessions compared to 118.5 per 100 by Milwaukee. When the Bucks win, it’s usually by comfortable margins. Four of their last five home wins have been by at least nine points.
Prediction: Milwaukee Bucks -3.5
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I expect a barrage of scoring. The Suns have scored at least 112 points in three of their last four road games. The Bucks play at a quick pace, ranking fifth in the NBA in tempo, so I expect more points than usual from this Phoenix squad.
In addition, Milwaukee is shooting a solid 37.4% from three-point range, good for 10th in the NBA. They prefer to chuck threes, averaging 38 three-point attempts per game. They took 40 threes in the meeting against the Suns last month. The Suns can be solved from deep, ranking 15th in three-point defense.
Prediction: Over 232
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