Rangers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Picks & Odds: World Series Game 3

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29 October 2023

Rangers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Picks & Odds: World Series Game 3

The Diamondbacks tied the World Series at 1 game apiece, and we give our bestprediction for the Rangers vs. Diamondbacks World Series Game 3 as the series shifts to Arizona based on the best MLB odds.

The Arizona Diamondbacks won their first-ever World Series road game on Saturday with a 9-1 triumph over the Texas Rangers in Game 2. In doing so, Arizona also put an end to the Rangers' streak of six consecutive Game 2 victories when leading a series 1-0, which was tied for the second-longest such run of all time. Notably, the Diamondbacks recorded the most hits in a World Series game since 2014 with their 16.

The Texas Rangers have demonstrated remarkable success on the road during the 2023 MLB postseason, boasting a record-tying streak of eight consecutive playoff road victories. This remarkable achievement has solidified their reputation as a formidable force away from home, showcasing their resilience and prowess in critical away games.

In conjunction with our Rangers vs. Diamondbacks World Series Game 3 player props, hereis our best Rangers vs. Diamondbacks prediction for Game 3 of the World Series(odds via our best MLB betting sites; pick confidence based on a1-to-5-star scale).

Rangers vs. Diamondbacksprediction: World Series Game 3

The Under is likely to be an unpopular play, as each of the firsttwo games of this series has gone Over the projected total, with double-digitruns scored in each.

However, the Over cashing in Game 1 required Paul Sewald’sfirst blown postseason save. In Game 2, just three runs were scored through thefirst six innings, and the floodgates opened after that when Texas saved most ofits high-leverage relievers after using them in Game 1.

Arizona scored an unsustainable seven two-out runs in Game 2after scoring zero in Game 1. The Diamondbacks also got incredible productionfrom the bottom of the lineup, with their seven through nine hitters going 5-for-10 with fourruns scored and three RBIs. However, Christian Walker remains unproductive fromthe heart of the order, as he is now 2-for-13 with runners in scoring positionthis postseason after a regular season in which he hit 33 home runs and drove in103 runs.

Arizona held Texas to its fewest hits (four) and runs in apostseason game this season. The pitching staff, primarily Merrill Kelly, did amuch better job throwing strikes than in Game 1, when it combined to walk 10batters and allow 20 total baserunners. If throwing strikes is what is neededto keep Texas off the basepaths, rookie Brandon Pfaadt should comply, as he hasa 22-3 K-BB ratio through four starts this postseason.

Rangers righty Max Scherzer has been tagged for seven earnedruns through 6 2/3 innings this postseason. However, we expect positiveregression from the veteran, as he still induced eight whiffs in a poor ALCSGame 3 outing and allowed just two barrels on his nine hard-hit balls. AndScherzer’s velocity was up on four of his five primary pitches in Game 7, whichsuggests he has a lot left in the tank after missing over a month at the end ofthe regular season.

This is a contrarian three-star play despite Texas averaging 7.4runs per game with 13 home runs and 32 extra-base hits in eight postseasongames thus far.

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Rangers vs. Diamondbacks best odds

All of our best sports betting apps offer the same total and price on the Under, so you can head to any of them to place this bet. We would only play the Under at a line of 9.0runs or higher, as the Over is 7-1 in Texas’s last eight games.

Rangers vs. Diamondbacks odds

TheO/U has remained frozen at our best sportsbooks’ opening number of 9.0 runs, withthe only movement of significance to this point being that FanDuel initiallywent from -105 to -102 to back the Under but caught up with the rest of itscompetitors and is now offering -110 odds on both the Over and Under. There isdead-even two-way action on the total to this point.

Mostsportsbooks have the game as a virtual coin flip with -110 moneyline odds foreach team. BetRivers is slightly lower with Texas at -109, and the Rangers areas high as -112 at FanDuel. Fifty-nine percent of the early moneyline wagershave backed the Rangers, but Arizona is 5-0 in its last five home gamesfollowing a road win.