Rangers vs. Pirates Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

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Rangers vs. Pirates Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

The Texas Rangers (29-17) aim to extend their three-game win streak when they meet the Pittsburgh Pirates (24-22) on Monday at 6:35 PM ET, at PNC Park.

The Rangers are a favorite (-136) against the Pirates (+115). The contest has an over/under of 9.

The betting insights in this article are based off odds valid as of May 22, 2023 at 5:13 AM ET. Ready to bet?

Rangers vs Pirates Betting Lines

Rangers Betting Insights

  • The Rangers have won 15, or 68.2%, of the 22 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • This season Texas has won 13 of its 16 games, or 81.2%, when favored by at least -136 on the moneyline.
  • The Rangers have a 57.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Texas’ games have gone over the total in 25 of its 39 chances.
  • In 39 games with a spread this season, the Rangers are 27-12-0 ATS.

Rangers Last 10 Games Trend

Pirates Betting Insights

  • The Pirates have been underdogs in 26 games this season and have come away with the win 10 times (38.5%) in those contests.
  • Pittsburgh has a mark of 8-11 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +115 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 46.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over in 19 of its 39 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Pirates are 19-20-0 against the spread in their 39 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Pirates Last 10 Games Trend

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Rangers Probable Pitcher – Dane Dunning

  • Dunning and his team have covered in each of his three starts with a spread this season.
  • The right-hander gave up one earned run in six innings pitched on Wednesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Atlanta Braves.
  • Dunning has pitched five or more innings in three straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • Dunning’s team won his only start as a favorite this season.
  • Dunning’s team has a 2-1 record in his starts this season.
  • Games started by Dunning have a 1-2-0 record at hitting the over this season.

Rangers Relief Pitchers

Pirates Probable Pitcher – Luis Ortiz

  • Ortiz (0-2) gets the starting nod for the Pirates, his third of the season.
  • The righty last appeared on Tuesday against the Detroit Tigers, when he tossed three innings, allowing three earned runs while giving up seven hits.
  • Ortiz has put up one start this season where he pitched five or more innings.
  • The Pirates were the underdog on the moneyline for one Ortiz start this season — they lost.
  • His team has lost both of the games he’s appeared in this season.
  • Ortiz’s two starts with a total this season finished 1-1-0 against the total.

Pirates Relief Pitchers

Rangers Hitting Trends

  • The Rangers are 20-5 this season in games when they send out two or more home runs.
  • Texas has gone 11-9 in its 20 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
  • The team has strung together eight or more hits 44 times this season, and has a 32-12 record in those games.
  • Texas is 30-11 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Rangers are 12-9 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Pirates Hitting Trends

  • They are 13-1 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Pittsburgh has won each of its 11 games this season in which it has connected for five or more extra-base hits.
  • They have won 16 of the 21 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Pittsburgh has a 15-2 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • In 15 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 10-5

Rangers vs. Pirates Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Rangers (-136)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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