Padres vs. Rangers Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

The San Diego Padres (49-54) and Texas Rangers (60-43) square off on Friday at 9:40 PM ET, beginning a three-game series at PETCO Park.

The favored Padres (-173 moneyline odds) host the Rangers (+144). The total for this game is set at 8.5.

The betting trends in the following article are based off odds valid as of July 28, 2023 at 3:22 AM ET. Ready to bet?

Padres vs Rangers Betting Lines

Padres Betting Insights

• The Padres have won 40, or 51.9%, of the 77 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• This season San Diego has won 15 of its 29 games, or 51.7%, when favored by at least -173 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 63.4% chance of a victory for the Padres.
• So far this season, San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 41 of 103 games with a total.
• The Padres are 49-54-0 ATS in their 103 games with a spread this season.

Padres Last 10 Games Trend

Rangers Betting Insights

• The Rangers have been chosen as underdogs in 35 games this year and have walked away with the win 20 times (57.1%) in those games.
• This season, Texas has been victorious four times in nine chances when named as an underdog of at least +144 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Rangers have an implied victory probability of 41% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
• Texas and its opponents have hit the over in 54 of its 103 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Rangers have an against the spread mark of 61-42-0 in 103 games with a line this season.

Rangers Last 10 Games Trend

If you’re looking for a place to bet on the Padres or Rangers, look no further than DraftKings Sportsbook, where you can use our link to get the best offer for new depositors!

Padres Probable Pitcher – Joe Musgrove

• Musgrove and his team have a record of 9-7-0 against the spread when he starts.
• The right-hander’s last start was on Sunday, when he tossed six innings while giving up three earned runs on seven hits in a matchup with the Detroit Tigers.
• Musgrove has pitched five or more innings in 14 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• He has finished three appearances without allowing an earned run in 16 chances this season.
• Musgrove’s team is 10-4 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
• In games Musgrove has started, his team is 10-6.
• In Musgrove’s 16 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over six times.

Padres Relief Pitchers

Rangers Probable Pitcher – Dane Dunning

• Dunning (8-3 with a 3.18 ERA and 64 strikeouts in 102 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Rangers, his 15th of the season.
• In his most recent appearance on Saturday against the Los Angeles Dodgers, the righty threw three innings, giving up five earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
• Dunning has 13 starts this campaign where he pitched five or more innings.
• In seven of his appearances this season he did not allow an earned run.
• The Rangers have been the underdog on the moneyline in five of Dunning’s starts this season, and they went 3-2 in those games.
• Dunning’s team has an 8-6 record in his starts this season.
• Dunning has had 14 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in six of those games.

Rangers Relief Pitchers

Padres Hitting Trends

• The Padres have put up at least two long balls in 45 games this season, and are 25-20 in those contests.
• San Diego has collected five or more extra-base hits in 28 games this season, and has gone 20-8 in those outings.
• The club has strung together at least eight hits 55 times this season, and has a 38-17 record in those games.
• San Diego is 41-7 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
• The Padres are 26-19 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Rangers Hitting Trends

• They have won 35 of the 49 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
• Texas has gone 23-12 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
• In 87 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 59-28.
• Texas has a 54-18 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
• In 38 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 24-14

Padres vs. Rangers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Padres (-173)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

Odds subject to change. Not all offers available in all areas. See DraftKings for offer details, terms and conditions. Must be 21+ to gamble, please wager responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, contact 1-800-GAMBLER.