Cubs vs. Pirates Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

The Chicago Cubs (28-37) host the Pittsburgh Pirates (34-30) in NL Central action, at 8:05 PM ET on Tuesday.

The Pirates (+107 underdog moneyline odds to win) visit the Cubs (-126). The contest has a set total of 9.

The insights in the following article use the latest odds as of June 13, 2023 at 3:13 PM ET. Ready to bet?

Cubs vs Pirates Betting Lines

Cubs Betting Insights

• This season, the Cubs have been favored 28 times and won 13, or 46.4%, of those games.
• Chicago has a record of 7-7 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -126 on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cubs have a 55.8% chance to win.
• Chicago’s games have gone over the total in 31 of its 65 chances.
• In 65 games with a spread this season, the Cubs are 32-33-0 ATS.

Cubs Last 10 Games Trend

Pirates Betting Insights

• The Pirates have been underdogs in 46 games this season and have come away with the win 22 times (47.8%) in those contests.
• This year, Pittsburgh has won 19 of 38 games when listed as at least +107 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 48.3% chance of walking away with the win.
• Pittsburgh and its opponents have hit the over in 31 of its 64 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• In 64 games with a line this season, the Pirates have a mark of 33-31-0 against the spread.

Pirates Last 10 Games Trend

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Cubs Probable Pitcher – Jameson Taillon

• Taillon and his team are 2-8-0 ATS this season when he starts.
• The right-hander gave up four earned runs in 5 1/3 innings pitched on Thursday in his last outing, a matchup with the Los Angeles Angels.
• Taillon has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
• He has one appearance with no earned runs allowed in 10 chances this season.
• Taillon’s team has been upset in each of the five games he’s started as the moneyline favorite.
• Taillon’s team has won one of his 10 starts.
• Games Taillon has started this season hit the over six times in 10 chances.

Cubs Relief Pitchers

Pirates Probable Pitcher – Luis Ortiz

• Ortiz (1-2 with a 4.23 ERA and 16 strikeouts in 27 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Pirates, his sixth of the season.
• His last appearance was out of the bullpen on Wednesday when the righty tossed five innings against the Oakland Athletics, surrendering two earned runs while giving up 10 hits.
• Ortiz will try to secure his fifth matchup of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 4.5 innings per appearance.
• So far during the 2023 campaign he has given up at least one earned run in all of his outings.
• The Pirates have been the underdog on the moneyline in four of Ortiz’s starts this season, and they went 2-2 in those games.
• Ortiz’s team has a 2-3 record over his five starts.
• Ortiz’s starts hit the over on the run total three times in five games with a set total this season.

Pirates Relief Pitchers

Cubs Hitting Trends

• The Cubs have put up two or more dingers in 23 games this season, and are 12-11 in those contests.
• Chicago has gone 9-2 in its 11 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
• The club has notched eight or more hits 43 times this season, and has a 29-14 record in those games.
• Chicago is 21-6 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
• The Cubs are 11-14 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Pirates Hitting Trends

• They’ve hit two or more homers in 18 games this season and are 16-2 in those matchups.
• Pittsburgh has won 15 of its 16 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
• In 32 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 24-8.
• Pittsburgh has a 21-3 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
• They have a 12-8 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Cubs vs. Pirates Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Cubs (-126)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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