Ranking the 5 favorites to win the 2022-23 UEFA Champions League

The UEFA Champions League is the most prestigious cup competition in Europe. Last season, Real Madrid won the competition, their 14th triumph. This season's Round of 16 fixtures are in a month. FiveThirtyEight has used statistics to predict the likely victors of this season’s UEFA Champion League.

PSG have won 14 of 17 matches this season and lost only once. They have Lionel Messi, Kylian Mbappe and Neymar as their top performers. PSG finished second in Group H behind Benfica and will play Bayern Munich in the Round of 16.

PSG will play a friendly against an all-star XI from Al-Hilal and Al Nassr on January 19.

Real Madrid have 7% chance of defending their UEFA Champions League crown. Los Blancos are currently three points behind leaders Barcelona in La Liga and have already lost in the Champions league. They beat PSG, Chelsea, Manchester City, and Liverpool to win their 14th Champions Cup last season.

Liverpool are ranked third in the list of the 5 favorites to win the 2022-23 UEFA Champions League. They have only won eight of their 17 Premier League matches this season. Liverpool have been knocked out of EFL Cup and the Champions' League and they will play against Real Madrid in Round of 16 in 2022.

Naby Keita has the highest win percentage of all Liverpool players since 2008/09.

Manchester City are second in the Premier League and have a 22% chance of winning the UEFA Champions League at the end of the 2022-23 season. They were knocked out by Real Madrid last season and are looking to go further this season, and win their Round of 16 tie with RB Leipzig.

Bayern Munich have a 25% chance of winning the UEFA Champions League this season. They have won all six of their Group C games and finished ahead of Inter Milan. Bayern will play PSG in the Round of 16. They won the 2020 UEFA UEFA Champion's League final.