RBC Heritage picks 2023: Expert picks, best bets for PGA Tour golf this week

RBC Heritage picks and best bets for the 2023 trip to Harbour Town as we have an outright, Top 10 and more PGA Tour expert picks for golf.

Normally, when it comes to the trip to Harbour Town Golf Links for the RBC Heritage the week after The Masters, many golf fans think it’s all but a week off with most of the best players in golf not teeing it up. However, the PGA Tour has made this a designated event now, which means that we’re going to have some big-time names. And that makes our RBC Heritage picks and best bets that much more fun to dive into.

We came in with a heavy card for The Masters in hopes of getting back into the green. We didn’t fully do that but we still made up ground as a Jordan Spieth Top 5, a Top 20 from Brooks Koepka and a Top 10 from Viktor Hovland all cashed to put us up 2.65 units for the week at Augusta National. Now it’s time to take the PGA Tour expert picks to Harbour Town.

As of right now, the one big name out at this tournament is Rory McIlroy, who missed the cut at The Masters and then withdrew from this event on Monday. That won’t stop us from making our RBC Heritage picks and best bets. We’ll lock in our outright, Top 10 and One and Done selections before getting through the rest of our PGA Tour expert picks with a smattering of other options.

Golf betting record in 2023 through Masters: 21-52-2, -2.494 units (0-14 on outrights, 0.5 unit bets | +2.65 units at Masters)
One-and-Done record in 2023: $2,710,878.22 (Jordan Spieth at Masters, $744,000)

PGA Tour expert picks for RBC Heritage: Winner, Top 10, One and Done

Top 10 Pick for the RBC Heritage: Rickie Fowler (+550, DraftKings)

We didn’t see Rickie Fowler at Augusta National because he didn’t qualify — but he was close. And the reason he was close is because he’s found his game once again. Fowler has finished T17 or better in each of his last three starts and is gaining 0.61 strokes on approach over his last 20 rounds. I love the trend of his game and think these odds are great in a field full of tired players after this past week at Augusta.

Pick to Win the RBC Heritage (0.5 Units): Jordan Spieth (+2000, DraftKings)

Speaking out of both sides of my mouth, we’re going with a tired player from Augusta to win this week — in fact, we’re going with Jordan Spieth pulling the back-to-back. Frankly, though, I have no idea why Spieth’s odds are this long on DraftKings. Spieth has gained at least 4.0 strokes ball striking in each of his last three stroke play events, including at The Masters. His strong finish has me thinking that he’ll be free and ready to really come up big, which means rising to the top in this loaded field for a huge prize.

One and Done Pick for RBC Heritage: Patrick Cantlay

A lot of talk about Cantlay at The Masters this week, namely his pace of play and how slow it is. But he was in a playoff with Spieth at Harbour Town last year and his ball striking has been highly impressive. I think he’s a grinder made to play week to week even with some scars from Augusta National, so I love him as a One and Done pick this week, largely because his odds aren’t favorable to bet on.

RBC Heritage picks and best bets

Shane Lowry to finish Top 10 (+320, DraftKings)

I saw some signs that, apparently, no one else did from Shane Lowry coming into The Masters and he played well, posting a T16 finish. Now he comes to a place where he finished T3 last year and three Top 10 finishes in the last four starts. With him gaining nearly a stroke ball striking over his last 20 rounds, I’m all over these odds for him to finish inside the Top 10 again, especially with no stress over contending at The Masters while still performing well.

Patrick Cantlay and Collin Morikawa to both finish Top 20

Cantlay has played this event four times in the last five years. In those starts, he’s finished T7 or better three times. Now he comes in gaining 2.00 strokes ball striking over the last 20 rounds. A Top 20 finish seems obvious. But with little value there, I’m parlaying that with Collin Morikawa. After a quiet T10 at The Masters, he’s at a place where he’s been T26 or better in the past two years while gaining over 1.10 strokes ball striking in the last 20 rounds. This feels like a smart way to get invested in these two players.

Matt Wallace to finish Top 40

Given how well Matt Wallace has been playing, I couldn’t believe that his odds were a ridiculous 140/1 for the RBC Heritage. Because of the strength of the field, I’m playing it a bit conservative with a Top 40 play, but there should still be great value there. He has three straight Top 30 finishes, including a win at the off-field Corales, and has gained more than a stroke on approach over his last 20 rounds. Throw in that he was T18 at Harbour Town in 2021, and I love this play here.

Longshot pick to win the RBC Heritage: Sam Stevens (+20000, DraftKings)

Hop on the Sam Stevens train while it’s hot. I would certainly bet him for a Top 20 as a big flier when he’s at these odds, especially with how he’s been playing. In his last two starts, Stevens was Top 3 at both the Valero and at Corales. He’s also gaining more than 1.5 strokes ball striking over the last 20 rounds. That’s among the best in the field and his odds should not be this long based on how he should fit this course and how he’s been performing.