Red Sox vs. Orioles Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets

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29 March 2023

Red Sox vs. Orioles Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets

The Boston Red Sox begin their season as -125 favorites in a home tilt against the Baltimore Orioles on Thursday at 2:10 PM ET, live on NESN.

Corey Kluber will get the ball for Boston while Baltimore counter with Kyle Gibson.

Red Sox vs. Orioles Odds

Red Sox odds to win: -125
Orioles odds to win: +105
Spread: Red Sox -1.5
Total: 9 runs

Red Sox vs. Orioles Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

Date: Thursday, March 30, 2023
Time: 2:10 PM ET
TV: NESN

Who Will Win Red Sox vs. Orioles?

Red Sox and Orioles Betting Trends (2022)

The Red Sox were the moneyline favorite 80 total times last season. They went 48-32 in those games.

Boston had a record of 36-25 when it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -125 or shorter last year (59%).

The Orioles won 64, or 48.5%, of the 132 games they played as underdogs last season.

Last season, Baltimore won 52 of its 111 games, or 46.8%, when it was the underdog by at least +105 on the moneyline.

The Red Sox played in 162 games with an over/under set, and combined with their opponents to go over the total 76 times (76-77-9).

The Orioles and their opponents hit the over in 72 of their 161 games with a total last season.

Red Sox Stats & Insights (2022)

Last season the Red Sox were the ninth-highest scoring team in baseball averaging 4.5 runs per game (735 total).

Boston averaged one home run per game to rank 20th in baseball with 155 total home runs last season.

The Red Sox’s .258 batting average was third-best in the majors.

The team struck out 8.5 times per game to rank 14th in the majors.

The pitching staff for the Red Sox had a collective 8.5 K/9 last season, which ranked 19th in the majors.

Boston had the 25th-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (4.54).

Orioles Stats & Insights (2022)

The Orioles ranked 20th in the majors with 674 total runs scored last season.

Baltimore hit 171 homers last season, which ranked 15th in the majors.

The Orioles had a team batting average of .236 last season, which ranked 20th among MLB teams.

Baltimore ranked 17th with an average of 8.6 strikeouts per game.

The Orioles averaged the 25th-most strikeouts per nine innings (7.6) in the big leagues last season.

Baltimore pitched to a 3.97 last season, which ranked 17th in baseball.

Red Sox Key Players to Watch (2022)

Kluber will make his first start of the season for the Red Sox.

Last season, Rafael Devers had a .295 batting average with 27 home runs and 88 RBI.

Alex Verdugo collected 166 hits, posted an OBP of .328, and a .405 SLG.

Justin Turner finished last season with 13 home runs, 81 RBI and a batting average of .278.

Kike Hernandez collected 80 hits, posted an OBP of .291 and a .338 SLG.

Orioles Key Players to Watch (2022)

The Orioles will send Gibson to the mound for his first start this season.

Anthony Santander had 33 home runs and 89 runs batted in last season.

Cedric Mullins had a .258 batting average with 157 hits.

Ryan Mountcastle hit .250 a season ago with 28 doubles, a triple, 22 home runs and 43 walks.

Adley Rutschman hit .254 with 35 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 65 walks.

Red Sox and Orioles Injuries

Red Sox: Trevor Story: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

Orioles: None