Red Sox vs. Yankees prediction, picks, odds: Sunday Night Baseball, 6/11

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Summer is almost here, but with the weather turning hotter, we’ve got a rivalry in Major League Baseball that’s scorching hot no matter what time of year it is. That’s right, it’s the first series of the year between the Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees and tonight, a national audience will get to see the rubber match of this three-game series where both teams have taken a game in the Bronx.

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For Sunday Night Baseball later tonight, the Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees will square off in their rubber match for their first season series of 2023. The Red Sox won on Friday night 3-2, but it could have easily been a Yankees win had a potential Anthony Volpe walk-off home run been four feet inside the foul pole.

The Yankees took the second game on Saturday as their makeshift offense featured home runs from Gleyber Torres and Willie Calhoun as well as an insurance run from Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the win.

Tonight’s contest will see the Red Sox trot out Brayan Bello to start for the Sox tonight. Bello may not have the most attractive record at 3-4, but Bello has gotten exactly one run of support and given up just six earned runs in his last three starts. He’s pitched very well, but the record doesn’t reflect it. Still, he hasn’t been too economical with his pitch counts, as he’s averaged 100.5 pitches and 5.2 innings in his last four starts.

The Yankees will counter Bello with Clarke Schmidt, who is only 2-6 but has lowered his season ERA from 6.30 to 4.96 in his last five starts. Schmidt has pitched a lot better, and with some of the Yankees’ best hitters injured, runs may be more at a premium in terms of support.

With the combination of both starting pitchers pitching better and runs being harder to come by in this particular series, our experts are liking the under 9 runs as the experts’ Red Sox vs. Yankees prediction for Sunday Night Baseball

Looking at the individual player market and considering every factor, we’ve got some best bets for our Red Sox vs. Yankees prediction in tonight’s Sunday Night Baseball contest.

The first best bet would be taking the under on Clarke Schmidt under 17.5 outs at -137 odds. Schmidt has made six innings in his starts just twice in the last eight starts and has not pitched over 100 pitches in a start this season. His last start went six innings on just 79 pitches, which is excellent, but manager Aaron Boone won’t hesitate to play matchups or give Schmidt if he can get the advantage in a high-leverage at bat.

Our next best bet would be taking Masataka Yoshida over 0.5 hits at -278 odds. Yoshida has been one of the best hitters for the Red Sox this season but has been hitless over the last two games of this series. Regression has to hit here and the experts like Yoshida, who is hitting .305 this season, to tally a hit tonight.

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In addition to our Red Sox vs. Yankees prediction for Sunday Night Baseball, we’ve got the rest of the odds and betting lines for you to tack on additional bets at your leisure. Of course, these odds are all provided by Caesars Sportsbook:

  • Money line: Boston Red Sox (+105) vs. New York Yankees (-125)
  • Run line: Boston Red Sox +1.5 (-178) vs. New York Yankees -1.5 (+150)
  • Game total: Over 9 (+100) vs. Under 9 (-120)

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