Royals vs. Reds Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

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Royals vs. Reds Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

The Kansas City Royals hope to halt their six-game losing run versus the Cincinnati Reds (31-35), on Monday at 8:10 PM ET.

The Royals (-111 on the moneyline) take the field against the Reds (-107) in an expected tight matchup. The over/under in the game is set at 8.5 total runs.

The betting insights in the article below reference odds valid as of June 12, 2023 at 7:14 PM ET. Ready to bet?

Royals vs Reds Betting Lines

Royals Betting Insights

  • The Royals have entered the game as favorites 12 times this season and won three, or 25%, of those games.
  • Kansas City has entered 12 games this season favored by -111 or more and is 3-9 in those contests.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Royals, based on the moneyline, is 52.6%.
  • Games involving Kansas City has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 27 of 65 chances this season.
  • The Royals are 24-41-0 against the spread this season.

Royals Last 10 Games Trend

Reds Betting Insights

  • The Reds have been victorious in 24, or 46.2%, of the 52 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Cincinnati has a mark of 23-27 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by -107 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Reds have an implied victory probability of 51.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • Cincinnati’s games have gone over the total in 37 of its 66 opportunities.
  • In 66 games with a line this season, the Reds have a mark of 39-27-0 against the spread.

Reds Last 10 Games Trend

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Royals Probable Pitcher – Zack Greinke

  • Greinke’s team is 6-7-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Tuesday, when he threw 4 1/3 innings against the Miami Marlins, giving up five earned runs while allowing four hits.
  • In 13 starts, Greinke has pitched through or past the fifth inning 11 times. He has a season average of 5.1 frames per outing.
  • He has two appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 13 chances this season.
  • Greinke’s team lost his only start as a favorite this season.
  • Greinke’s team has a 3-10 record in his starts this season.
  • In games Greinke has started this season, the teams are 4-7-2 at hitting the over.

Royals Relief Pitchers

Reds Probable Pitcher – Luke Weaver

  • Weaver makes the start for the Reds, his 10th of the season. He is 1-2 with a 6.27 ERA and 46 strikeouts in 47 1/3 innings pitched.
  • The righty’s last time out was on Tuesday against the Los Angeles Dodgers, when he threw 3 2/3 innings, surrendering seven earned runs while allowing six hits.
  • Weaver has pitched five or more innings in a game six times this year heading into this game.
  • He has had one outing this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
  • The Reds have a 4-5 record in Weaver’s nine starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Weaver’s team is 4-5 in his nine starts.
  • Weaver has started nine games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in five of them.

Reds Relief Pitchers

Royals Hitting Trends

  • The Royals are 5-10 this season in games when they crush at least two long balls.
  • Kansas City has gone 7-10 in its 17 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
  • The club has strung together at least eight hits in 38 games this season, and is 14-24 in those contests.
  • Kansas City is 11-10 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Royals are 1-9 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Reds Hitting Trends

  • They are 14-2 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • In 19 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 15-4.
  • In 51 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 35-16.
  • Cincinnati has won 36 of its 42 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have a 9-17 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Royals vs. Reds Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Reds (-107)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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