Mets vs. Royals Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

The Kansas City Royals (32-75) will aim to keep a three-game winning streak alive when they host the New York Mets (50-55) at 8:10 PM ET on Tuesday.

The Royals are an underdog (+131 on the moneyline to win) when they take on the Mets (-157). The total for the game is 9.5 total runs.

The insights in what follows reflect odds as of July 31, 2023 at 11:15 PM ET. Ready to bet?

Mets vs Royals Betting Lines

Mets Betting Insights

• The Mets have been favorites in 71 games this season and won 40 (56.3%) of those contests.
• New York has entered 35 games this season favored by -157 or more and is 15-20 in those contests.
• The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 61.1% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• New York and its opponents have hit the over in 43 of its 106 games with a total this season.
• The Mets have an ATS record of 42-64-0 in 106 games with a spread this season.

Mets Last 10 Games Trend

Royals Betting Insights

• The Royals have been underdogs in 94 games this season and have come away with the win 29 times (30.9%) in those contests.
• This season, Kansas City has come away with a win 19 times in 66 chances when named as an underdog of at least +131 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 43.3% chance of walking away with the win.
• Kansas City’s games have gone over the total in 49 of its 107 opportunities.
• The Royals are 44-63-0 against the spread in their 107 games that had a posted line this season.

Royals Last 10 Games Trend

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Mets Probable Pitcher – Jose Quintana

• Quintana has a record of 0-2-0 ATS in two starts with a spread this season.
• The left-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he threw six innings against the New York Yankees, giving up two earned runs.
• Quintana will look to finish five or more innings for the third start in a row.
• Quintana’s team lost his only start as a favorite this season.
• Quintana’s team is 0-2 when he starts this season.
• In the two games with a total started by Quintana this season, the teams did not hit the over both times.

Mets Relief Pitchers

Royals Probable Pitcher – Zack Greinke

• Greinke gets the start for the Royals, his 21st of the season. He is 1-11 with a 5.49 ERA and 66 strikeouts over 101 2/3 innings pitched.
• The righty’s most recent appearance was on Tuesday against the Cleveland Guardians, when he went five innings, surrendering four earned runs while giving up four hits.
• Greinke will try to secure his 17th game of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 5.1 innings per appearance.
• In two of his appearances this season he has not give up an earned run.
• The Royals are 4-14 in Greinke’s 18 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
• Greinke’s team has won four of his 20 starts.
• Greinke has had 20 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in seven of those games.

Royals Relief Pitchers

Mets Hitting Trends

• The Mets have a 19-16 record this season in games when they smash at least two homers.
• New York is 12-5 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
• The team is 38-21 in the games this season it has collected eight or more hits.
• New York is 38-17 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
• The Mets are 15-10 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Royals Hitting Trends

• They have won 10 of the 25 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
• Kansas City has won 11 of its 26 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
• In 59 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 23-36.
• Kansas City has won 21 of its 33 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
• In 14 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 3-11

Mets vs. Royals Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Mets (-157)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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