San Francisco Giants at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

The Atlanta Braves (79-42) welcome the San Francisco Giants (64-58) to Truist Park Saturday. First pitch is set for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Giants vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 1-0.

The Braves won the opener of the 3-game series 4-0 Friday. Atlanta has won 4 straight games and is 8-2 over its last 10. The Braves sit atop the NL East and are 13.5 games ahead of the Philadelphia Phillies. They are 41-20 at home.

San Francisco has fallen off as of late, winning just 3 of its last 10. It is 29-30 at home. The Giants rank 2nd in the NL West, 11 games behind the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Giants at Braves projected starters

RHP Logan Webb vs. RHP Yonny Chirinos

Webb (9-9, 3.26 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 through 163 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 8 2/3 IP, 6 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 6 K in a 3-2 home win over the Texas Rangers Sunday
• 2023 road stats: 4-5, 4.52 ERA in 77 2/3 IP through 13 starts

Chirinos (5-5, 5.22 ERA) makes his 9th start and 20th appearance. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 5.4 K/9 through 81 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 7 H, 6 ER, 2 BB, 5 K in a 7-6 road loss against the New York Mets Sunday
• 2023 home stats: 2-2, 6.25 ERA in 31 2/3 IP through 5 starts (8 appearances)

Giants at Braves odds

BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:15 a.m. ET.

Giants at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 6, Giants 3

BET BRAVES (-120).

Atlanta has been on fire as of late, and it is at home where it is 40-19 as a favorite. It beat the Giants 4-0 to open the series and has gone 7 of its last 8.

While Webb has been solid for San Fran through most of the season, he hasn’t been as potent on the road this season, which will be an issue against the team with the most runs in the MLB and 2nd-most hits. The Giants are below .500 on the road and just 3-7 over their last 10.

Considering the trends for both teams and Webb’s road splits, take BRAVES (-120).

PASS.

If there is value, it is still for the home side. San Fran has lost 4 of its last 6 games, all of which came by more than 1 run. It was held scoreless in the opener as well.

Atlanta is 31-28 on the run line as a home favorite. Nonetheless, I prefer the safer moneyline value.

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LEAN UNDER 9.5 (-115).

The Giants are 1-3 O/U in Webb’s last 4 starts. They have gone Under in 3 straight games and have scored just 10 runs in their last 4 games, 3 of which they scored 2 or fewer.

While the Braves’ bats have been unstoppable this season, they have gone Under in 3 straight games and have also scored 5 or fewer in each. They are 3-5 O/U over their last 8 games.

Back UNDER 9.5 (-115).

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