Soccer Predictions Ecuador vs Colombia, Picks and Odds
ThePicks now brings you predictions for the match between Ecuador and Colombia, taking place on Tuesday, October 17, 2023, with a scheduled kick-off time of 7:30 PM. The Ecuadorian team, the host of the match, will face Colombia at the Rodrigo Paz Delgado Stadium. This game is part of the fourth round of the CONMEBOL World Cup Qualifiers.
Ecuador is currently in the seventh position in the qualification table. It is worth noting that Ecuador started these 2026 World Cup qualifiers with a -3 point penalty on the table due to irregular cases of player selection during the last qualifying campaign for the 2022 World Cup.
However, the team seems to have adapted well, coming off two consecutive victories and now totaling their first 3 points, having started with negative points in the competition. They suffered a defeat in their debut. Their three matches so far have been:
- Argentina 1 x 0 Ecuador
- Ecuador 2 x 1 Uruguay
- Bolivia 1 x 2 Ecuador
The Ecuadorian team plays in a fast and offensive manner, especially at home, maintaining an average of 1.33% goals in the overall average of goals scored. When playing as the host, the Ecuadorian team maintains 2% goals per game. Additionally, they have a 100% record in matches with over 2.5 goals in their territory, making them an over team.
The opposing team, Colombia, currently holds the third position in the table with 5 points, having not suffered a defeat in the first three rounds but coming off two consecutive draws. Their campaign so far reads:
- Colombia 1 x 0 Venezuela
- Chile 0 x 0 Colombia
- Colombia 2 x 2 Uruguay
Colombia has remained unbeaten in 7 matches, including friendlies and official competitions. When playing away from home, the Colombian team has a 100% record in matches with fewer than 2.5 goals.
Ecuador vs. Colombia: Predictions and Betting Tips
In terms of odds and betting, Ecuador enters as a slight favorite in the market, with their odds for the Final Result at even with a price of -105 at the Fanduel sportsbook. Colombia, our underdog, has odds of +320.
We will explore more than one market here for our predictions for this clash. Our idea is to always look for valuable odds that might be mispriced. With an offensive team like Ecuador that needs a win to recover in the qualifiers after their penalty, we can expect them to play aggressively.
Ecuador will likely exploit their offensive strategy, creating opportunities in the goal market. However, we cannot ignore the fact that we have a quality team on the other side, which is aiming for a win after two consecutive draws.
The market offers both teams to score, with odds at +104 for Fanduel. This is the last game of this FIFA date, with the next one scheduled for November. As usual, we will also provide an additional prediction in the Asian handicap market in favor of the underdogs, the Colombian team. Let’s take advantage of the attractive odds in the Draw no Bet in favor of Colombia, priced at +200. If you are a conservative bettor, you may choose to use a lower unit.
Indeed, there is value here, considering that in the case of a draw, we would not suffer a defeat but only receive a refund.
Prediction: Both Teams to Score – Yes, odds +104
Extra Prediction: Colombia Draw no Bet, odds +200
