South Alabama Jaguars vs Troy Trojans Prediction, Odds and Picks

Vote on who will cover the spread!

Point Spread Pick

South Alabama has been a tough team to pin down this season. The Jaguars followed up a 26-point win over Oklahoma State as 7.5-point ‘dogs with a 34-30 loss against Central Michigan. Most recently, they beat UL-Monroe and Southern Miss. 110-10 combined followed up by a 33-20 loss as double-digit favorites against Louisiana. This time around, I don’t see a bounceback. Troy is one of the best defensive teams in the country, ranking 14th in total defense (300.8 ypg allowed) and 17th in scoring defense (16.88 ppg allowed). The Trojans have held opponents to 7 or fewer points in 3 of their last 4 games and should also cause problems for this Jaguars’ offense. 

While South Alabama has a slight statistical advantage offensively, the Trojans are more than capable of keeping up. Troy ranks 31st in the country with 441.8 yards per game and QB Gunnar Watson can sling it. He ranks 26th in the nation with 270.5 passing yards per game and has a solid 14:4 TD to INT ratio. The Jaguars haven’t been as consistent maintaining possession and have a -2 turnover margin. Troy has forced 15 turnovers this season (19th) and that could be an issue for the Jaguars. I’m taking Troy to cover at home and get its 5th straight win.

Troy -5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to Troy -6 (-110).

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Ryan is a die-hard sports fan with a passion for crunching numbers and finding winning picks. He works on the Pickswise social media team and recently began handicapping MLB games. He has years of experience delivering winning picks in both college football and the UFC and is looking to expand his areas of expertise. For Ryan Bunnell media enquiries, please email [email protected].