Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction 9-28-23 MLB Picks

The St. Louis Cardinals and the Milwaukee Brewers meet in the finale of their three-game NL Central division set in MLB action from American Family Field on Thursday.

Cardinals Edged Out On Wednesday

The St. Louis Cardinals were narrowly taken out on Wednesday by a final score of 3-2 to even up the series at one win apiece. The loss dropped St. Louis to 69-89 on the year, eliminated from playoff contention. Nolan Gorman leads the Cardinals with 27 home runs while Nolan Arenado has 26 home runs, a team-high 93 RBIs and a .266 batting average while Paul Goldschmidt has a team-high 157 hits, a .267 batting average and 29 doubles this season. Tommy Edman also has a team-high 4 triples and Willson Contreras also has 27 doubles this season. Dakota Hudson will start for the Cardinals here and is 6-2 with a 4.95 ERA and 42 strikeouts this season.

St. Louis Cardinals Team Facts

The Cardinals have won eight of their last 10 games as underdogs against the Brewers following a road loss.The Cardinals have covered the run line in each of their last seven day games against the Brewers at American Family Field following a loss.The Cardinals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five day games at American Family Field against National League opponents.The Cardinals have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last four day games at American Family Field against NL Central opponents.

The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Cardinals' last three games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents.

Brewers Looking To Build Momentum

The Milwaukee Brewers are trying to build up some momentum as they push towards the postseason following Wednesday’s win. The win brought the Brewers to 89-69 on the year, winners of the NL Central division. William Contreras leads the Brewers with 152 hits and 38 doubles, while Christian Yelich has 75 RBIs and a .275 batting average as well as a .365 OBP. Willy Adames comes in with a team-leading 24 home runs and 78 RBIs and has the unfortunate distinction of leading the Brewers with 160 strikeouts this season. Corbin Burnes will start for the Brewers and is 10-8 with a 3.46 ERA and 196 strikeouts this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Team Facts

The Brewers have lost each of their last four games as home favorites against NL Central opponents following a home win.The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as favorites against the Cardinals following a home win.The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games as favorites against National League opponents.The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.

The Brewers have trailed after 7 innings in four of their last five games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

The Milwaukee Brewers rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.73).The Milwaukee Brewers rank 1st in the league for opponent batting average this season (.227).The St. Louis Cardinals rank T29th in the league for triples this season (12).

The St. Louis Cardinals rank 29th in the league for strikeouts this season (1181).

Chris’ Pick

I’m sticking with the Brewers here. Neither team has anything of consequence to play for here so I could understand a case being made for the plus money, but the Brewers are the far more trustworthy team here, and I just don’t think I’m in a spot where I can back the Cardinals with how disappointing they’ve been all year and closing out the season in the same way does little for me. There’s no value in losing, so give me the Brew Crew here.