Steelers vs. Colts NFL Player Props, Odds: Saturday Prop Bets

The Pittsburgh Steelers face the Indianapolis Colts on Saturday in a critical Week 15 matchup for AFC playoff positioning, and we have you covered with our top Steelers vs. Colts NFL player props for Saturday based on the best NFL odds.

The second game of Saturday's NFL tripleheader isn't exactly teeming with star power as the Pittsburgh Steelers (7-6) and Indianapolis Colts (7-6) face off in Week 15. But there's value nonetheless in the player props market.

Both of these teams enter this week in a must-win spot amid a six-way tie for the final two spots in the AFC playoff picture. They're both coming off Week 14 losses, too, which exposed the weakest points - and potential fixes - for these respective offenses.

Along with our Steelers vs. Colts prediction and Week 15 NFL player props, here are our best Steelers vs. Colts NFL player props for Saturday (NFL odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Steelers vs. Colts NFL player props: Saturday

Zack Moss longest rush Under 14.5 yards (-115 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

As I wrote about in my preview of this game, I'd expect the Colts to take care of business at home, which is typically a good sign for any team's starting running back. But Moss isn't a typical starter - and that isn't a compliment.

While Moss ranks 14th among qualified backs in yards per attempt (4.3), he ranks dead last in rushing attempts per broken tackle (57.7), having shed just three tackles on 173 total rushes. He's been even worse since reclaiming the starting job in Week 13, as his 2.2 yards per carry in that stretch rank second-worst among all NFL starters.

Volume isn't everything for Moss, who had 19 carries in Week 13 and gained five or fewer yards on all of them. In his last two starts, he has exactly one rush of 10 yards or more, and he's tallied just one carry of 15-plus yards in the last five weeks combined - with seven such runs in 12 games overall.

He'll have plenty of chances in another spot start on Saturday, but I wouldn't expect it to amount to much against a Steelers defense that has firmed up as of late.

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Jaylen Warren Over 46.5 rushing yards (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

We're seeing a clear discount on this total after a quiet showing for Warren in Week 14, when he finished with his fewest rushing yards (11) since Week 1. He had cleared this total in each of his previous five games, though, and he's a solid bet to do it again Saturday.

In many ways, Warren is the antithesis of Moss as a rusher: he leads the NFL in yards per carry (5.6) and attempts per broken tackle (5.5), and he ranks second among all backs in yards before contact (3.6), yards after contact (2.1), and PFF's elusive rating (min. 50 attempts).

His uber-efficient play forced the Steelers to give him a bigger workload, and he's quite literally run with it. The second-year back has seen at least nine carries in five of his last six games, and he's averaged 85.2 rushing yards in those games while clearing this prop total in all five contests.

The lone outlier was last week, when he fell back down to earth (seven carries, 11 yards) against a stout New England Patriots front. So did running mate Najee Harris (12 carries, 29 yards), who saw his fewest carries since Week 8 and was limited in practice this week with a lingering knee injury.

Given Harris' health and Warren's steady play, I'd expect the latter to get more opportunity against a Colts defense allowing the third-most rushing yards (147 YPG) since Week 7.

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Pat Freiermuth Over 30.5 receiving yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐

We haven't seen much from Freiermuth this season aside from a 120-yard outburst in Week 12. I wouldn't expect a repeat of that in Week 15, but this is still a spot worth targeting for the Steelers tight end.

The Colts' secondary has started to find its stride, but this zone-heavy defense is still very exploitable over the middle of the field. To that effect, Indianapolis ranks in the bottom 10 in targets (106), receptions (72), and yards (733) surrendered to opposing tight ends through 14 weeks.

Freiermuth has eclipsed this total just twice this season, but he's seen 23 targets over the last three weeks and tied the team lead in targets (7) in last week's loss. It's only a matter of time before Freiermuth pops off like he did in Cincinnati, and with this prop dealing as high as 33.5 at FanDuel, we're getting some market value with this bet365 number, too.

Steelers-Colts NFL player props for Saturday made Friday at 3:15 p.m. ET

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