Sunday TV Horse Racing Trends: 4th Feb 2024 geegeez.co.uk

The ITV Racing cameras are in action in Scotland and Ireland this Sunday – taking in five races at each Leopardstown at the Dublin Racing Festival and another five north of the border at Musselburgh.

At Leopardstown, the Dublin Chase and Irish Champion Hurdle headline as Cheltenham Festival hopefuls El Fabiolo and State Man are in action.

While at Musselburgh their top card is spearheaded by the Scottish Champion Chase.

Let's take a look at the live ITV races and the key trends, plus trainer and jockey stats.

Leopardstown Horse Racing Trends (ITV/Racing TV)

1:10 Leopardstown Ladbrokes Novice Chase (Grade 1) (5yo+) 2m5f ITV

8/10 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
7/10 – Winning favourites
5/10 – Trained by Willie Mullins
3/10 – Ridden by Paul Townend
Trainer Willie Mullins has an 18% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Emmet Mullins is 0-from-20 with his hurdlers at the track

1:40 Leopardstown Tattersalls Ireland 50th Derby Sale Novice Hurdle (Grade 1) (5yo+) 2m ITV

9/10 – Trained by Willie Mullins
8/10 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
7/10 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
4/10 – Ridden by Danny Mullins (2) or Paul Townend (2)
4/10 – Winning favourites
Trainer Willie Mullins has an 18% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Thomas Mullins is 0-from-33 with his hurdlers at the track

2:10 Leopardstown Ladbrokes Dublin Chase (Grade 1) (5yo+) 2m1f ITV

6/6 – Trained by Willie Mullins
5/6 – Winning favourites
4/6 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
3/6 – Ridden by Paul Townend (3 of the last 4)
2/6 – Ridden by Danny Mullins
Gentleman De Mee won this race in 2023
Trainer Willie Mullins has an 19% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Henry De Bromhead is just 7-from-99 with his chasers at the track

2:45 Leopardstown Chanelle Pharma Irish Champion Hurdle (Grade 1) (4yo+) 2m ITV

19/20 – Placed in the top three last time
17/20 – Raced within the last 2 months
17/20 – Had won at Leopardstown before
17/20 – Returned 10/3 or shorter in the betting
17/20 – Rated 158 or higher
16/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
16/20 – Won last time out
14/19 – Went onto finish in the top six of that season’s Champion Hurdle
15/20 – Winning favourites
12/20 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
12/20 – Raced at Leopardstown last time out
11/20 – Irish bred
7/20 – Trained by Willie Mullins (7 of last 13 runnings)
5/20 - Trained by Henry De Bromhead (4 of the last 7 runnings)
5/19 – Went onto win the Champion Hurdle
3 of the last 15 winners were second season hurdlers
The average winning SP in the last 20 runnings is 2/1

3:20 Leopardstown O'Driscolls Irish Whiskey Leopardstown Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (5yo+) 2m5f ITV

8/10 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
4/10 – Ridden by a claiming jockey
2/10 - Winning favourite
2/10 – Trained by Gordon Elliott (2 of the last 7)
The Goffer won the race in 2023
Birchdale won the race in 2022
Trainer Enda Bolger is 2 from 8 with his chasers at the track
Trainer Henry De Bromhead is just 7-from-99 with his chasers at the track
Trainer Joseph O’Brien is just 3-from-42 with his chasers at the track

Musselburgh Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ Racing TV)

1:20 Musselburgh bet365 Scottish Triumph Hurdle (A Juvenile Hurdle) (Listed Race) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo) 1m7½f ITV

8/9 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
7/9 – Winning favourites
3/9 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (3 of the last 7)
3/9 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (3 of the last 8)
2/9 – Ridden by Harry Cobden (2 of the last 4)
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 37% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Olly Murphy has a 36% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Iain Jardine is just 5-from-97 with his hurdlers at the track
Jockey Harry Cobden has a 54% record riding over hurdles at the track
Jockey Brian Hughes has a 21% record riding over hurdles at the track

1:50 Musselburgh Never Ordinary At bet365 Handicap Chase Cl3 (5yo+ 0-125) 2m ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 24% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Donald McCain has a 23% record with his chasers at the track
Jockey Brian Hughes has a 21% record riding over fences at the track

2:25 Musselburgh bet365 Scottish Supreme Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 1m7½f ITV

8/8 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
6/8 – Aged 5
2/8 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
2/8 – Ridden by Brian Hughes
2/8 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
1/8 – Winning favourite
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 37% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Adrian Paul Keatley has a 29% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer John C McConnell has a 21% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Jockey Harry Cobden has a 54% record riding over hurdles at the track
Jockey Paddy Brennan has a 29% record riding over hurdles at the track
Jockey Brian Hughes has a 21% record riding over hurdles at the track

3:00 Musselburgh Pertemps Network Group Handicap Hurdle (Pertemps Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race) Cl2 (5yo+ 0-145) 3m ITV

7/8 – Aged 7 or younger
6/8 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
5/8 – Carried 10-7 or less
4/8 – Winning favourites
2/8 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/8 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/8 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
Trainer David Killahena & Graeme McPherson have a 67% strike-rate with their hurdlers at the track
Trainer Ann Hamilton has a 50% strike-rate with her hurdlers at the track
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 37% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer John C McConnell has a 21% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Iain Jardine is just 5-from-97 with his hurdlers at the track
Jockey Harry Cobden has a 54% record riding over hurdles at the track
Jockey Paddy Brennan has a 29% record riding over hurdles at the track
Jockey Brian Hughes has a 21% record riding over hurdles at the track

3:35 Musselburgh bet365 Scottish Champion Chase (For The Bowes-Lyon Trophy) Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (5yo+) 2m4½f ITV

No past runnings
Trainer Ann Hamilton has a 40% strike-rate with her chasers at the track
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 24% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Donald McCain has a 23% record with his chasers at the track
Jockey Harry Cobden has a 67% record riding over fences at the track
Jockey Brian Hughes has a 21% record riding over fences at the track