Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 9-6-23 MLB Picks

The Boston Red Sox and the Tampa Bay Rays meet in the finale of their three-game AL East division rivalry series from Tropicana Field on Wednesday.

Red Sox Fall Short In Loss Tuesday

The Boston Red Sox narrowly ended up with a loss in Tuesday’s loss to the Rays after an 8-6 defeat at the hands of Tampa Bay. The loss dropped Boston to 72-67 on the year, sitting 5 games back in the AL Wild Card race and 15.5 games back in the AL East race. Masataka Yoshida leads the Red Sox with 139 hits and a .294 batting average and Triston Casas has a team-high .370 OBP. Rafael Devers has a team-high 29 home runs and 91 RBIs while Justin Turner has 137 hits and 91 RBIs of his own this season. Nick Pivetta will start for the Red Sox here and is 9+7 with a 4.49 ERA and 145 strikeouts this season.

Boston Red Sox Team Facts

- The Red Sox have lost each of their last nine games at Tropicana Field following a loss.

- The Red Sox have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as underdogs against AL East opponents.

- The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five games at Tropicana Field against American League opponents that held a winning record.

- The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

Rays Pick Up Big Win

The Tampa Bay Rays got their much needed win in Tuesday’s matchup with the Red Sox. The win brought the Rays up to 84-55 on the year, holding onto the top Wild Card spot in the American League while sitting 3.5 games back in the AL East hunt. Isaac Paredes leads the Rays with 27 home runs while Jose Siri has 25 home runs with Paredes also chipping in a team-high 86 RBIs while Randy Arozarena has 78 RBIs this season. Yandy Diaz also has a team-high 147 hits with a .322 batting average and a .401 OBP as well on the season. Tyler Glasnow will start for the Rays here and is 7-5 with a 3.17 ERA and 120 strikeouts this season.

Tampa Bay Rays Team Facts

- The Rays have won each of their last 10 home games against the Red Sox following a home win.

- The Rays have covered the run line in eight of their last nine home games after going to extra innings.

- The Rays have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last four Wednesday games as home favorites.

- The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Rays' last three night games at Tropicana Field.

- The Rays have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games against the Red Sox at Tropicana Field.

Matchup/League Facts

- The Tampa Bay Rays ranks 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (557).

- The Tampa Bay Rays ranks 2nd in the league for steals this season (148).

- The Boston Red Sox ranks 1st in the league for doubles this season (302).

- The Boston Red Sox ranks 3rd in the league for hits this season (1263).

Chris’ Pick

I’m looking at the Rays here. I get why plus money with Boston is tempting considering that Pivetta’s been decent in spots as a starter, but Glasnow’s been really good at the Trop this season, as have the Rays as a team, and I just don’t know if I can really trust Pivetta in this spot. The Rays got some confidence in Tuesday’s win and I think that carries over here. Give me Tampa Bay.