The worst case scenario for the Seattle Mariners is Wild Card #2
Seattle Mariners lost 13-12 to the Kansas City Royals yesterday. Seattle is 6th in the American League with 10 games left to play. FanGraphs has them at 99.9% odds to make the playoffs. They have a five-game cushion over the Baltimore Orioles. They won the season series against them. The Orioles have to be a full game better to beat Seattle.
The Seattle Mariners are in the Wild Card round. They will play against the winner of the AL Central. The worst case scenario for them is a home-field advantage in a best-of-three series against Cleveland. It's possible they will never play a playoff game in Seattle. The Blue Jays are currently 2.5 games ahead of Seattle and the Rays. Robbie Ray can't play in Canada because of his vaccination requirements. He would be unable to start in any playoff games. This is the most likely scenario. Seattle has been out of a playoffs for a long time. Their last appearance came in 1990.
Wild Card 1 hosts a best-of-three series at home against WC 2. Wild Card 2 travels to WC 1 stadium for a series. The Wildcard 3 travels with the AL division winner with worst record to Cleveland.
The worst case scenario for the Seattle Mariners is Wild Card #2.
