Timberwolves vs. Bucks Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets
The Milwaukee Bucks (35-21) visit the Minnesota Timberwolves (39-16) after losing three straight road games. The Timberwolves are favored by 4.5 points in the contest, which starts at 10:00 PM ET on Friday, February 23, 2024. The point total for the matchup is set at 224.5.
Timberwolves vs. Bucks Odds
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Timberwolves and Bucks Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
The Timberwolves have a 16-12 record against the spread when favored by 4.5 points or more this season.
The Bucks are 1-1 against the spread when an underdog by 4.5 points or more this season.
These teams average 236 points per game combined, 11.5 more than the total of 224.5.
Minnesota and Milwaukee have seen its opponents average a combined 1.0 more point per game than the point total of 224.5 set in this outing.
The average point total in Timberwolves games this year is 3.8 fewer points than the over/under of 224.5 in this matchup.
The average point total for Milwaukee this season is 16.4 points higher than this game’s over/under.
Minnesota has a 29-24-2 record against the spread this season.
The Bucks’ ATS record is 21-34-1 this year.
Timberwolves Stats & Insights
The Timberwolves’ +399 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 7.3 points per game) is a result of scoring 114.0 points per game (18th in the NBA) while allowing 106.7 per outing (first in the league).
The Timberwolves come out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 3.7 boards. They are recording 43.9 rebounds per game (12th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 40.2 per contest.
Minnesota makes 12.6 three-pointers per game (15th in the league) at a 39.3% rate (second-best in the NBA), compared to the 11.4 per game its opponents make at a 35.2% rate.
The Timberwolves rank 17th in the league by averaging 117.1 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are first in the NBA, allowing 109.7 points per 100 possessions.
The Timberwolves have been worse offensively at home, where they score 112.7 points per game, compared to on the road, where they put up 115.0 per game. Defensively, they are much better in home games, where they concede 102.6 points per game, versus playing on the road, where they allow their opponents to average 109.9 per game.
Bucks Stats & Insights
The Bucks outscore opponents by 3.2 points per game (posting 122.0 points per game, second in league, and conceding 118.8 per contest, 23rd in NBA) and have a +178 scoring differential.
Milwaukee grabs 44.0 rebounds per game (11th in league), compared to the 44.2 of its opponents.
The Bucks connect on 14.2 three-pointers per game (fifth-most in the league) while shooting 37.5% from beyond the arc (ninth-best in NBA). They are making 2.0 more threes than their opponents, who drain 12.2 per game at 35.5%.
The Bucks average 120.4 points per 100 possessions on offense (fifth in league), and give up 117.3 points per 100 possessions (17th in NBA).
In 2023-24 Milwaukee is averaging 2.8 more points per game at home (123.3) than away (120.5).
Timberwolves Key Players to Watch
The scoring leader for the Timberwolves this season is Anthony Edwards (among active players), who averages 26.3 points, 5.2 rebounds, and 5.3 assists per game.
Rudy Gobert adds 13.7 points, 1.2 assists and 12.5 rebounds per outing. Mike Conley puts up 10.6 points, 6.4 assists and 2.9 rebounds a game.
The Timberwolves get 2.6 three-pointers per game out of Edwards.
Edwards averages 1.2 steals per game, while Gobert swats 2.1 shots per contest.
Bucks Key Players to Watch
Giannis Antetokounmpo has shown out this season to lead active Bucks players in points (30.8 per game), rebounds (11.2 per game), and assists (6.4 per game).
Malik Beasley knocks down 2.9 threes per game.
The Bucks’ defensive efforts get a lift from Antetokounmpo’s 1.4 steals and Brook Lopez’s 2.7 blocks per game.
Over (224.5)
Timberwolves 120 – Bucks 111
